Your Official UFC 202 Bets

ezflyer

Active Member
UFC 202 Risk: 1,192.30
diaz +120: 50 for 60 / diaz SPLIT: 10 for 152 / diaz RD3:6 parlays / DEC: 30 for 105 / NOT mcgregor ITD: 63 for 50 / McGregor DEC: 15 for 94.50 / mcgregor SPLIT: 10 for 167
GT +177: 50 for 88.50 / GT SUB: 20 for 121 / GT RD2: 10 for 97.50 - 6 parlays / GT RD3: 10 for 135 / AJ DEC: 25 for 131.65
Cowboy -160: 320 for 200 / Cowboy SUB: 22.50 for 300.13 / story
lim-perry U1.5: 56.30 for 50
means SUB: 15 for 79.50 / means RD3: 15 for 105 - 6 parlays / homasi RD1: 5 for 62.50 / homasi NSC: 20 for 90
mizugaki-garbrandt O1.5: 73.50 for 50
pennington SUB: 50 for 460 / pennington RD3: 20 for 210 - 6 parlays / phillips
lobov -111: 111 for 100 / lobov RD3: 6 parlays / avila
markos SUB: 20 for 141 / markos RD3: 10 for 157.50 / casey: 0 for 22.50
larkin +370: 50 for 185 / magny RD3: 6 parlays
covington SUB: 30 for 99 / covington RD3: 20 for 200 - 6 parlays / griffin
vettori SUB: 20 for 84 / uda
props
SUB O3.5: 15 for 50.25
SUB O4.5: 3.50 for 42.39
SUB O5.5: 1 for 39
SUB O6.5: 0.50 for 95.50
parlays
21 RR for 2,094.60: diazRD3/ GTRD2/ meansRD3/ penningtonRD3/ lobovRD3/ magnyRD3/ covingtonRD3
---

hehe, i keep hedging stuff.

i'll update finalized bets tomorrow before the fights
 

Will

Administrator
Staff member
1u glover vs aj FOTN +700
1u homassi vs means FOTN +1400

( unless its a trully epic fight. I doubt they give it to nate and connor. Daddy's not going to reward them. Unless i am naive, and dana is on or happy with the antics )
 

Sky

Member
2x diaz 2.15
1x diaz dec 11.00
1x not conor ITD 1.78
2x cerrone 1.75
1x casey 2.37
1.5x magney 1.80
0.5x homasi 4.50
0.5x homasi KO 10.00
1u tex 3.00
o.2x tex r3 21.00
0.2x tex sub 7.00
 

ezflyer

Active Member
UFC 202 Risk: 1,445.30
diaz +120: 50 for 60 - 15 parlays / diaz SPLIT: 10 for 152 / diaz RD3:6 parlays / DEC: 30 for 105 - 9 parlays / NOT mcgregor ITD: 63 for 50 / McGregor DEC: 15 for 94.50 / mcgregor SPLIT: 10 for 167
GT +179: 100 for 178.50 - 15 parlays / GT SUB: 20 for 121 / GT RD2: 10 for 97.50 - 6 parlays / GT RD3: 10 for 135 / DEC: 9 parlays / AJ DEC: 25 for 131.65
Cowboy -152: 380 for 250 - 15 parlays / Cowboy SUB: 22.50 for 300.13 / story
lim-perry U1.5: 56.30 for 50 / RD1: 9 parlays
means DEC: 25 for 91.50 / means SUB: 15 for 79.50 / means RD3: 15 for 105 - 6 parlays / DEC: 9 parlays / homasi RD1: 5 for 62.50 / homasi: 15 parlays / homasi NSC: 35 for 150
mizugaki-garbrandt O1.5: 73.50 for 50
pennington SUB: 50 for 460 / pennington RD3: 20 for 210 - 6 parlays / phillips
lobov -111: 111 for 100 - 15 parlays / lobov ITD: 9 parlays / lobov RD3: 6 parlays / avila
markos SUB: 20 for 141 / markos RD3: 10 for 157.50 / casey: 0 for 22.50
larkin +370: 50 for 185 - 15 parlays / magny RD3: 6 parlays
covington SUB: 30 for 99 / covington RD3: 20 for 200 - 6 parlays / griffin
uda +150: 50 for 75 - 15 parlays / vettori SUB: 10 for 36.50
props
SUB O3.5: 15 for 50.25
SUB O4.5: 3.50 for 42.39
SUB O5.5: 1 for 39
SUB O6.5: 0.50 for 95.50
Fastest KO: perry: 3 for 60
Fastest KO: homasi: 3 for 60
Fastest KO: lobov: 7 for 70
parlays
21 RR for 2,094.60: diazRD3/ GTRD2/ meansRD3/ penningtonRD3/ lobovRD3/ magnyRD3/ covingtonRD3
35 RR for 461.03: diaz/ GT/ cerrone/ homasi/ lobov/ larkin/ uda
15 RR for 481.98: diazconorDEC/ GTAJDEC/ perrylimRD1/ meanshomasiDEC/ lobovITD
---

screw it, i'm done

let's do this, cowboy.
 

JoshKnows46

Active Member
Added:
Alberto Uda wins fastest KO +1600 $100
Mcg/Diaz FOTN -125 $125
Donald Cerrone wins fastest SUB +1000 $100
Over 2.5 Subs +120 $100
Mizugaki points handicap +3.5 +260 $100
Mizugaki +430 $50
 

JustBleedFan

Moderator
Staff member
Trying something different this week- heavy on parlays and round robins including some longshots with big payouts.

UFC 202 Risk $3334.00

Nate Diaz (+100) vs Conor McGregor $200.00 for $200.00
Nate Diaz +5½ points (-125) $250.00 vs $200.00
Nate Diaz/Conor McGregor starts round 3 (-125) $62.50 for $50.00
Nate Diaz/Conor McGregor Over 2½ (+105) $100.00 for $105.00
Nate Diaz wins by TKO/KO (+677) $50.00 for $338.50
Nate Diaz wins in round 3 (+850) $40.00 for $340.00
Nate Diaz wins in round 4 (+1150) $25.00 for $287.50
Conor McGregor wins by 5 round decision (+630) $25.00 for $157.50

Glover Teixeira wins by submission (+525) vs Anthony Johnson $20.00 for $105.00

Donald Cerrone (-165) vs Rick Story $330.00 for $200.00

Hyun Gyu Lim/Mike Perry Under 1½ (-115) $57.50 for $50.00

Tim Means wins by submission (+530) vs Sabah Homasi $20.00 for $106.00
Tim Means wins in round 2 (+400) $25.00 for $100.00
Tim Means wins in round 3 (+700) $10.00 for $70.00

Cody Garbrandt wins by 3 round decision (+251) vs Takeya Mizugaki $50.00 for $125.50
Raquel Pennington wins by submission (+800) vs Elizabeth Phillips $30.00 for $240.00
Raquel Pennington wins in round 3 (+1050) $10.00 for $105.00
Artem Lobov scorecards = no action (-149) vs Chris Avila $149.00 for $100.00
Artem Lobov wins by 3 round decision (+470) $25.00 for $117.50
Randa Markos (-125) vs Cortney Casey $125.00 for $100.00
Randa Markos wins by submission (+705) $20.00 for $141.00
Randa Markos wins in round 3 (+1300) $10.00 for $130.00

Lorenz Larkin (+120) vs Neil Magny $100.00 for $120.00
Lorenz Larkin wins by 3 round decision (+276) $50.00 for $138.00
Neil Magny wins in round 3 (+1375) $10.00 for $137.50
Colby Covington wins by submission (+300) vs Max Griffin $35.00 for $105.00
Colby Covington wins in round 3 (+1000) $10.00 for $100.00
Marvin Vettori wins by submission (+340) vs Alberto Uda $35.00 for $119.00

Fights to end in submission over 2½ (+115) $40.00 for $46.00
Fights to end in submission over 3½ (+335) $25.00 for $83.75
Fights to end in submission over 4½ (+1211) $15.00 for $181.65
Fights to end in submission over 5½ (+3900) $10.00 for $390.00
Fights to end in submission over 6½ (+19100) $5.00 for $955.00

Nate Diaz/Conor McGregor FOTN award winner (+350) $35.00 for $122.50
Hyun Gyu Lim wins Fastest KO (+450) $10.00 for $45.00
Raquel Pennington wins Fastest SUB (+1200) $10.00 for $120.00

Parlays:
Colby Covington (-315) + Larkin/Magny Over 2½ (-210) + Markos/Casey Over 2½ (-210) + Pennington/Phillips Over 2½ (-245) + Tim Means (-415) + Diaz/McGregor Over 2½ (+110) $100.00 for $953.55
Colby Covington wins by submission (+295) + Raquel Pennington wins by 3 round decision (+118) + Nate Diaz/Conor McGregor Over 2½ (+105) $50.00 for $832.63
Colby Covington (-345) + Markos/Casey Over 2½ (-210) + Hyun Gyu Lim wins inside distance (-136) + Cody Garbrandt wins inside distance (-151) + Teixeira/Johnson won’t go 3 round distance (-325) $100.00 for $618.22
Hyun Gyu Lim/Mike Perry Under 1½ (-115) + Donald Cerrone/Rick Story Over 2½ (-180) $100.00 for $190.82
Lorenz Larkin/Neil Magny Over 2½ (-220)+ Hyun Gyu Lim (-260) vs Mike Perry $50.00 for $50.70
Colby Covington (-345) vs Max Griffin + Raquel Pennington/Elizabeth Phillips Over 2½ (-250) + Mike Perry/Hyun Gyu Lim Under 1½ (-115) $50.00 for $118.80
Lorenz Larkin wins by 3 round decision (+276) + Raquel Pennington wins by 3 round decision (+118) + Cody Garbrandt wins by TKO/KO (-135) $100.00 for $1,326.85
Randa Markos (-130) + Raquel Pennington (-255) + Tim Means (-415) $50.00 for $102.83
Randa Markos wins by submission (+560) + Chris Avila wins by 3 round decision (+228) + Raquel Pennington wins by 3 round decision (+118) $100.00 for $4,619.26
Randa Markos wins by 3 round decision (+152) + Raquel Pennington wins by 3 round decision (+105) $50.00 for $208.30
Marvin Vettori wins by submission (+340) + Colby Covington (-345) vs Max Griffin + Lorenz Larkin/Neil Magny Over 2½ (-220) $50.00 for $362.75
Marvin Vettori wins by submission (+340) + Colby Covington wins by submission (+295) + Tim Means wins by submission (+420)+ Donald Cerrone wins by submission (+335) $10.00 for $3,921.36
Marvin Vettori (-170) + Colby Covington (-345) + Larkin/Magny Over 2½ (-220) + Markos/Casey Over 2½ (-210) + Lobov/Avila Over 1½ (-200) + Pennington/Phillips Over 2½ (-250) $25.00 for $205.93

Round Robins:
Colby Covington wins inside distance (+182) + Artem Lobov wins inside distance (+158) + Tim Means inside distance (-165) + Hyun Gyu Lim wins inside distance (-150) $60.00 for $216.26
Colby Covington wins in round 3 (+875) + Randa Markos wins in round 3 (+1350) + Tim Means wins in round 3 (+700) + Glover Teixeira wins in round 3 (+1050) $60.00 for $7002.50
Colby Covington wins by submission (+295) + Raquel Pennington wins by submission (+500) + Tim Means wins by submission (+420) + Nate Diaz wins by submission (+240) $60.00 for $1209.50
Marvin Vettori wins by submission (+340) + Colby Covington wins by submission (+295) + Tim Means wins by submission (+420)+ Donald Cerrone wins by submission (+335) $60.00 for $1137.43
 

BT

Active Member
1.2u Larkin +110
.5u Larkin itd +375
.5u Pennington sub +800
1u Lobov -112
1.5u Vettori itd +112
1u Glover itd +350
1.8u Cerrone -165

obviously seeing a lot of potential finishes here. Shit line on cowboy but don't want to add much more so will probably just leave it as is (who am i kidding, will probably add a bit more). GL boys
 

ezflyer

Active Member
UFC 202 Net: +766.01
mcgregor: 0 for 135 / mcgregor DEC: 15 for 94.50 / mcgregor SPLIT: 10 for 167 / NOT mcgregor ITD: 63 for 50 - 37.50 parlays / DEC: 30 for 105 - 9 parlays / diaz: 0 for 170 - 15 parlays / diaz SPLIT: 10 for 152 / diaz SUB: 8 parlays / diaz RD3:6 parlays
GT +179: 100 for 178.50 - 15 parlays / GT SUB: 20 for 121 / GT RD2: 10 for 97.50 - 6 parlays / GT RD3: 10 for 135 / DEC: 9 parlays / NOT AJ ITD: 37.50 parlays / AJ DEC: 25 for 131.65

Cowboy -152: 455 for 300 - 52.50 parlays / Cowboy SUB: 22.50 for 300.13 - 8 parlays
Lim ITD: 37.50 parlays / lim SUB: 6.25 for 56.44 / lim RD2: 8 parlays
/ U1.5: 98.30 for 80 / RD1: 9 parlays
means DEC: 25 for 91.50 - 8 parlays / means SUB: 15 for 79.50 / means RD3: 15 for 105 - 6 parlays / DEC: 9 parlays / homasi RD1: 5 for 62.50 / homasi: 15 parlays / homasi NSC: 35 for 150
garbrandt DEC: 8 parlays / O1.5: 73.50 for 50

pennington: 0 for -16 / pennington SUB: 0 for 195 / pennington RD3: 20 for 210 - 6 parlays / phillips: 0 for -14.50
lobov: 0 for 80 - 15 parlays / lobov ITD: 17 parlays / lobov RD3: 6 parlays / avila: 0 for 149
markos SUB: 20 for 141 / markos RD3: 10 for 157.50
/ casey: 0 for 22.50
larkin +370: 50 for 185 - 15 parlays
/ magny RD3: 6 parlays
covington SUB: 30 for 99
/ covington RD3: 20 for 200 - 6 parlays
uda +150: 50 for 75 - 15 parlays / vettori SUB: 10 for 36.50
props
SUB O3.5: 15 for 50.25
SUB O4.5: 3.50 for 42.39
SUB O5.5: 1 for 39
SUB O6.5: 0.50 for 95.50
Fastest KO: perry: 3 for 60
Fastest KO: homasi: 3 for 60
Fastest KO: lobov: 7 for 70

parlays
21 RR for 2,094.60: diazRD3/ GTRD2/ meansRD3/ penningtonRD3/ lobovRD3/ magnyRD3/ covingtonRD3
35 RR for (paid -28.24) 461.03: diaz/ GT/ cerrone/ homasi/ lobov/ larkin/ uda
15 RR for 481.98: diazconorDEC/ GTAJDEC/ perrylimRD1/ meanshomasiDEC/ lobovITD
24 RR for 397.23: diazSUB/ cowboySUB/ limRD2/ meansDEC/ garbrandtDEC/ lobovITD
12.50 for 55.42 cowboy -135, NOT conor ITD -145 & NOT AJ ITD -118
12.50 for 46.55 cowboy -135, NOT conor ITD -145 & Lim ITD -165
12.50 for 52.06 cowboy -135, NOT AJ ITD -118 & Lim ITD -165
12.50 for 50.17 NOT conor ITD -145, NOT AJ ITD -118 & Lim ITD -165
---

i'll take it. winning the big bets again (cowboy this week, ponz last week).. two good ufc's in a row. nothing major, but back on track
 

JustBleedFan

Moderator
Staff member
Went way too crazy on the parlays- actually would have made good money tonight if it wasn't for that recklessness. Should have went for the KO props, not subs tonight. Main event mostly played out as I expected to a close decision and most of my bets on it hit, so luckily only a small 2.39 unit loss.

UFC 202 Risk $3334.00

Nate Diaz (+100) vs Conor McGregor $200.00 for $200.00= -$200.00
Nate Diaz +5½ points (-125) $250.00 vs $200.00= $200.00
Nate Diaz/Conor McGregor starts round 3 (-125) $62.50 for $50.00= $50.00
Nate Diaz/Conor McGregor Over 2½ (+105) $100.00 for $105.00= $105.00
Nate Diaz wins by TKO/KO (+677) $50.00 for $338.50= -$50.00
Nate Diaz wins in round 3 (+850) $40.00 for $340.00= -$40.00
Nate Diaz wins in round 4 (+1150) $25.00 for $287.50= -$25.00
Conor McGregor wins by 5 round decision (+630) $25.00 for $157.50= $157.50

Glover Teixeira wins by submission (+525) vs Anthony Johnson $20.00 for $105.00= -$20.00

Donald Cerrone (-165) vs Rick Story $330.00 for $200.00= $200.00

Hyun Gyu Lim/Mike Perry Under 1½ (-115) $57.50 for $50.00= $50.00

Tim Means wins by submission (+530) vs Sabah Homasi $20.00 for $106.00= -$20.00
Tim Means wins in round 2 (+400) $25.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Tim Means wins in round 3 (+700) $10.00 for $70.00= -$10.00

Cody Garbrandt wins by 3 round decision (+251) vs Takeya Mizugaki $50.00 for $125.50= -$50.00
Raquel Pennington wins by submission (+800) vs Elizabeth Phillips $30.00 for $240.00= -$30.00
Raquel Pennington wins in round 3 (+1050) $10.00 for $105.00= -$10.00
Artem Lobov scorecards = no action (-149) vs Chris Avila $149.00 for $100.00= Cancelled
Artem Lobov wins by 3 round decision (+470) $25.00 for $117.50= $117.50
Randa Markos (-125) vs Cortney Casey $125.00 for $100.00= -$125.00
Randa Markos wins by submission (+705) $20.00 for $141.00= -$20.00
Randa Markos wins in round 3 (+1300) $10.00 for $130.00= -$10.00

Lorenz Larkin (+120) vs Neil Magny $100.00 for $120.00= $120.00
Lorenz Larkin wins by 3 round decision (+276) $50.00 for $138.00= -$50.00
Neil Magny wins in round 3 (+1375) $10.00 for $137.50= -$10.00
Colby Covington wins by submission (+300) vs Max Griffin $35.00 for $105.00= -$35.00
Colby Covington wins in round 3 (+1000) $10.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Marvin Vettori wins by submission (+340) vs Alberto Uda $35.00 for $119.00= $119.00

Fights to end in submission over 2½ (+115) $40.00 for $46.00= -$40.00
Fights to end in submission over 3½ (+335) $25.00 for $83.75= -$25.00
Fights to end in submission over 4½ (+1211) $15.00 for $181.65= -$15.00
Fights to end in submission over 5½ (+3900) $10.00 for $390.00= -$10.00
Fights to end in submission over 6½ (+19100) $5.00 for $955.00= -$5.00

Nate Diaz/Conor McGregor FOTN award winner (+350) $35.00 for $122.50= $122.50
Hyun Gyu Lim wins Fastest KO (+450) $10.00 for $45.00= -$10.00
Raquel Pennington wins Fastest SUB (+1200) $10.00 for $120.00= -$10.00

Parlays:
Colby Covington (-315) + Larkin/Magny Over 2½ (-210) + Markos/Casey Over 2½ (-210) + Pennington/Phillips Over 2½ (-245) + Tim Means (-415) + Diaz/McGregor Over 2½ (+110) $100.00 for $953.55= -$100.00
Colby Covington wins by submission (+295) + Raquel Pennington wins by 3 round decision (+118) + Nate Diaz/Conor McGregor Over 2½ (+105) $50.00 for $832.63= -$50.00
Colby Covington (-345) + Markos/Casey Over 2½ (-210) + Hyun Gyu Lim wins inside distance (-136) + Cody Garbrandt wins inside distance (-151) + Teixeira/Johnson won’t go 3 round distance (-325) $100.00 for $618.22= -$100.00
Hyun Gyu Lim/Mike Perry Under 1½ (-115) + Donald Cerrone/Rick Story Over 2½ (-180) $100.00 for $190.82= -$100.00
Lorenz Larkin/Neil Magny Over 2½ (-220)+ Hyun Gyu Lim (-260) vs Mike Perry $50.00 for $50.70= -$50.00
Colby Covington (-345) vs Max Griffin + Raquel Pennington/Elizabeth Phillips Over 2½ (-250) + Mike Perry/Hyun Gyu Lim Under 1½ (-115) $50.00 for $118.80= $118.80
Lorenz Larkin wins by 3 round decision (+276) + Raquel Pennington wins by 3 round decision (+118) + Cody Garbrandt wins by TKO/KO (-135) $100.00 for $1,326.85= -$100.00
Randa Markos (-130) + Raquel Pennington (-255) + Tim Means (-415) $50.00 for $102.83= -$50.00
Randa Markos wins by submission (+560) + Chris Avila wins by 3 round decision (+228) + Raquel Pennington wins by 3 round decision (+118) $100.00 for $4,619.26= -$100.00
Randa Markos wins by 3 round decision (+152) + Raquel Pennington wins by 3 round decision (+105) $50.00 for $208.30= -$50.00
Marvin Vettori wins by submission (+340) + Colby Covington (-345) vs Max Griffin + Lorenz Larkin/Neil Magny Over 2½ (-220) $50.00 for $362.75= -$50.00
Marvin Vettori wins by submission (+340) + Colby Covington wins by submission (+295) + Tim Means wins by submission (+420)+ Donald Cerrone wins by submission (+335) $10.00 for $3,921.36= -$10.00
Marvin Vettori (-170) + Colby Covington (-345) + Larkin/Magny Over 2½ (-220) + Markos/Casey Over 2½ (-210) + Lobov/Avila Over 1½ (-200) + Pennington/Phillips Over 2½ (-250) $25.00 for $205.93= -$25.00

Round Robins:
Colby Covington wins inside distance (+182) + Artem Lobov wins inside distance (+158) + Tim Means inside distance (-165) + Hyun Gyu Lim wins inside distance (-150) $60.00 for $216.26= -$14.71
Colby Covington wins in round 3 (+875) + Randa Markos wins in round 3 (+1350) + Tim Means wins in round 3 (+700) + Glover Teixeira wins in round 3 (+1050) $60.00 for $7002.50= -$60.00
Colby Covington wins by submission (+295) + Raquel Pennington wins by submission (+500) + Tim Means wins by submission (+420) + Nate Diaz wins by submission (+240) $60.00 for $1209.50= -$60.00
Marvin Vettori wins by submission (+340) + Colby Covington wins by submission (+295) + Tim Means wins by submission (+420)+ Donald Cerrone wins by submission (+335) $60.00 for $1137.43= -$60.00
-----
Total Loss= -$239.41
 

Perra

Active Member
Got sucker odds on my biggest play - which kind of sucks - but I'm very confident in him to win (maybe I should increase my bet size here - absolutely will if I can get Cerrone over 1,7 come fight day). My other problem is that my second biggest bet would be a livebet where I think there's a lot of value, but I will be travelling that date and won't be able to livebet.

200$ Cerrone @ 1,54 (find him at 1,65 now)
50$ Cerrone 1,6

20$ Cerrone dec +245
100$ Diaz +108 (added after the press conference - GOAT looks already beaten)
100$ Diaz +120
50$ Diaz + Cerrone Parlay +260
50$ Diaz itd +175
20$ Diaz rd 3-4 +750
50$ Diaz sub +290
35$ Johnson/Teixeira Fight goes the distance +235
20$ Johnson by decision +550

20$ Larkin +120
20$ Larkin dec +276


If I somehow will have the possibility to livebet, I will go very big on Diaz if he survives rd1 against the GOAT and the odds will be over +200 (which is a very likely scenario). That would eliminate GOAT's most likely way to win the fight, and there's a huge risk/reward possibility in betting Diaz.

A similar scenario might be available if Glover survives rd 1.

Prebets: -303$
Livebets: +102

Diaz Fucked my night pretty much. Well it is what it is. Regretting not going bigger on Cowboy, saw him as a Level above Story. Well fuck it, on to the next one.
 

matthew

Member
4u Diaz ITD +160
1u Cowboy RD2 +625
.5u Cowboy Rd 3 +1050
3u Magny -130
Parlay 1u Avila/Lobov O1.5, Casey/Markos O2.5, Larkin/Magny O2.5 @ +253
2.3u Lobov -115
2u SUB O2.5 +115
1u SUB O3.5 +335
.5u SUB O 4.5 +1211
4u Johnson NSC -215
2u Cerrone/Story U2.5 +158
1u DEC O5.5 +136

Big losses on Magny and Diaz. Johnson and Cerrone for the save. +0.26u overall.
 
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