your ufn 63 bets

Will

Administrator
Staff member
#dontbescaredhomie

2u Al iquinta +100. dont love this bet as i think mas is the better fighter but he has a history of not getting up for fights he thinks are beneath him. He has sad the same about this fight and perhaps it showed on the scales? He also has a history of letting his opponent dictate the pace of the fight. So Al may be able to implement his will and take this one.

1u Pena + porier desc + 248
 

ezflyer

Active Member
ufn 63 Risk: 1,527.64
Lamas-Mendes O3.5: 50 for 50 - 50 parlays / FOTN: 15 for 52.50
Iaquinta +115: 400 for 460 / Iaquinta +3.5: 49.98 parlays / O2.5: 50 parlays / Masvidal
Chiesa KO: 25 for 200 / Chiesa -3.5: 49.98 parlays / Clarke
Pena: 150 parlays / Pena RD 1: 25 for 100 / Pena -3.5: 49.98 parlays / U2.5: 50 for 72.50 / Dudieva
Guida-Peralta O2.5: 150 parlays
Poirier -149: 224 for 150 / Poirier DEC: 40 for 102 / O2.5: 50 for 52.50 - 50 parlays / Ferreira
Murphy +115: 100 for 115 / Murphy +3.5: 49.98 parlays / O1.5: 50 parlays / Carmouche
Yakovlev +120: 100 for 120 / Yakovlev KO: 33 for 99 / Maynard
Abdurakhimov-Johnson: idk
Stallings +3.5: 49 for 35 / O1.5: 50 parlays / Jones
props
parlays
50 for 59.95 pena -260 & guida-peralta O2.5 -170
100 for 133.77 pena -275 & rockhold -140 (ufc fox 15)
50 for 83.33 guida-peralta O2.5 -180 & rockhold -140 (ufc fox 15)
100 RR for 321.64: RL/CM O3.5, AI/JM O2.5, RPCGO2.5/ CDF/DP O2.5, LM/LC O2.5, JJ/RS O1.5
66.64 RR for 164.72: iaquinta +3.5, chiesa -3.5, pena -3.5, murphy +3.5
---

not done, but prolly close. might bet lamas. might hedge on iaquinta.
 

ArchieUD

Member
Lamas +400 to win 2U / Not Mendes ITD -145 3U
Masvidal -115 1U
Poirier -150 3U / Poirier Dec +250 to win 1U / Not Poirier ITD -200 1.5U
Pena ITD +165 to win 1.5U
Guida -240 2U

Good luck!
 

ezflyer

Active Member
i told myself no more stupid parlays, but..

8 team RR:
lamas+5.5, iaquinta DEC, chiesa ITD, pena ITD, guida DEC, poirier DEC, yako KO, stallings DEC

lol
 

JustBleedFan

Moderator
Staff member
Only made a few pre-fight bets. Going to live bet the rest.

UFN 63 Risk $258.00

Al Iaquinta (+100) vs Jorge Masvidal $100.00 for $100.00
Dustin Poirier (-148) vs Carlos Diego Ferreira $148.00 for $100.00
Clarke/Chiesa FOTN award winner (+750) $10.00 for $75.00
 

ezflyer

Active Member
ufn 63 Net: +1,026.15
Lamas +385: 100 for 385 / Lamas +5.5: 21 parlays / O3.5: 50 for 50 - 50 parlays / FOTN: 15 for 52.50
Iaquinta +115: 400 for 460 / Iaquinta DEC: 21 parlays / Iaquinta +3.5: 49.98 parlays / O2.5: 50 parlays
Chiesa KO: 25 for 200 / Chiesa ITD: 21 parlays / Chiesa -7.5: 50 for 50 / Chiesa -3.5: 49.98 parlays / U2.5: 100 for 127.50
Pena: 150 parlays / Pena RD 1: 25 for 100 / Pena ITD: 33 for 49.50 - 21 parlays / Pena -3.5: 49.98 parlays / U2.5: 50 for 72.50
Guida -4000: 400 for 10 / Guida DEC: 20 parlays / DEC: 100 for 40 / O2.5: 150 parlays
Poirier -149: 224 for 150
/ Poirier DEC: 40 for 102 - 21 parlays / O2.5: 50 for 52.50 - 50 parlays
Murphy +101: 193.75 for 174.95
/ Murphy +3.5: 49.98 parlays / Murphy -1.5: 100 for 80 / O1.5: 50 parlays
Yakovlev -103: 175 for 170 / Yakovlev -3.5: 30 for 31.50
/ Yakovlev KO: 33 for 99 - 21 parlays / U2.5: 25 for 57.50
Johnson +196: 125 for 245
Stallings: 0 for 117 / Stallings DEC: 21 parlays / Stallings +3.5: 49 for 35 / O2.5: 50 for 40 / O1.5: 50 parlays
/ Jones: 0 for 11.10
parlays
50 for 59.95 pena -260 & guida-peralta O2.5 -170
100 for 133.77 pena -275 & rockhold -140 (ufc fox 15)
50 for 83.33 guida-peralta O2.5 -180 & rockhold -140 (ufc fox 15)
100 RR for 321.64 (lost 31.72): RL/CM O3.5, AI/JM O2.5, RP/CG O2.5/ CDF/DP O2.5, LM/LC O2.5, JJ/RS O1.5
66.64 RR for 164.72: iaquinta +3.5, chiesa -3.5, pena -3.5, murphy +3.5
84 RR for 644.85 (paid +79.45)
: lamas+5.5, iaquinta DEC, chiesa ITD, pena ITD, guida DEC, poirier DEC, yako KO, stallings DEC
---

hits just keep on comin!

i was sooo frustrated by m urphy-carmouche decision, but got it back with iaquinta, which was pretty fortunate. that said, on both cases, i SHOULD have hedged a lil more on carmouche +400 or +500 or whatever and i SHOULD have hedged in the first minute or prefight on iaquinta. both were mistakes. kinda ended up being a wash.

two nice carryover parlays with rockhold, sets me up nicely for his fight in 2 weeks.
 

Will

Administrator
Staff member
 
1:28pm 25-Mar-15 12:45pm 4-Apr-15 Mixed Martial Arts
Money Line Ricardo Lamas vs Chad Mendes for Fight. -393 1,784.22 454.00 Pending
1:28pm 25-Mar-15 12:45pm 4-Apr-15 Mixed Martial Arts
Money Line Ricardo Lamas vs Chad Mendes for Fight. -399 1,811.46 454.00 Pending
1:30pm 25-Mar-15 12:45pm 4-Apr-15 Mixed Martial Arts
Money Line Ricardo Lamas vs Chad Mendes for Fight. -406 1,624.00 400.00 Pending
 

Wilbo86

Member
First time posting actual bets, so I'll probably get slaughter


4 U Iaquinta @ 2.5
4 U Yak @ 1.97
1.5 U Yak ITD @ 3.2
1 U Johnson @ 3.25
1 U Johnson KO @ 6
6 U Abdurahimov/Johnson ITD @ 1.5
7 U Ferreira @ 2.65
2.2 U Ferreira ITD @ 4.4
.5 U Ferreira KO @ 8
.8 U Clarke by Decision @ 6
.3 Unit Mendes by KO in Round 2 @ 15
.2 Unit Mendes by KO in Round 3 @ 18
3.5 U Mendez Decision @ 2.5
0.5 U Abdurahimov Sub @ 6

Notes:

- regretting Clark decision, despite changing my mind on it since making it, the line looks like its only going to get better. Thinking about reversing it but will probably be too expensive to bother
- bad price on Yak, got to it late and missed a lot of value.
- odds in euro format obviously.

Edit: think i quoted close to 15 units total exposure to Ferreira earlier, calculated incorrectly cuase i rarely use unit, total exposure closer to 10

Net profit of around 3.6 units.

Exceedingly frustrating event for me for the following reasons:

- lost most of that profit live betting like a panicking pussy asshole.
- The over confidence in Ferreira was both very harmful and embarrassing wrong. I usually have one bet per card that is an absolute dud.
- Had the right idea on Mendes but wrong betting strategy. Absolutely retarch that i didn't bet KO in Round 1 in retrospect.

Lots of degen lessons from this one, especially when it comes to live betting.
 

ezflyer

Active Member
It was while going to scorecards...
 

Will

Administrator
Staff member
1:28pm 25-Mar-15 12:45pm 4-Apr-15 Mixed Martial Arts
Money Line Ricardo Lamas vs Chad Mendes for Fight. -393 1,784.22 454.00 Pending
1:28pm 25-Mar-15 12:45pm 4-Apr-15 Mixed Martial Arts
Money Line Ricardo Lamas vs Chad Mendes for Fight. -399 1,811.46 454.00 Pending
1:30pm 25-Mar-15 12:45pm 4-Apr-15 Mixed Martial Arts
Money Line Ricardo Lamas vs Chad Mendes for Fight. -406 1,624.00 400.00 Pending

Nice... I need to start making bigger prefight bets.

I just can't lay the juice on heavy favs.

Assume your up overall over the last few years?
 

Will

Administrator
Staff member
Awesome mate. Had some killer years there and decent start to this year as well.
 
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