Your official UFC on Fox 29 Bets

ezflyer

Active Member
1u gaethje +135

1u vettori +235

0.67u Mueller +100
 

ezflyer

Active Member
1u gaethje +135

1u vettori +235

0.67u Mueller +100

added:

0.5u condit +185

1u more on vettori +230ish (2u +231 net)

1u rainey +150
0.1u rainey SUB +1300

0.8u reis -120

0.13u jotko DEC +205

0.38ishu mueller -115 (1.05u -105 net)

0.13u lima DEC +205
0.27u okami DEC +213
0.48u DEC -180
0.45u lima NSC -134

0.33u wieczorek +295

1u lopez -125
 

ezflyer

Active Member
UFC 129 Risk: 2,065.55
gaethje +135: 150 for 202.50 / poirier
condit +75: 75 for 138.75 / condit RD3: 25 for 450 / a.oliveira
vettori +231: 300 for 692.50 / adesanya
waterson +145: 90 for 130.50 / waterson DEC: 60 for 147.20 / casey
boetsch ITD: 20 for 88 / boetsch KO: 20 for 103 / boetsch RD3: 12 for 204 / shoeface
rainey +170: 150 for 255 / rainey SUB: 15 for 195 / salikhov
reis -120: 120 for 100 / moraga
jotko DEC: 20 for 41 / tavares
burns-moret: idk
mueller -105: 157.50 for 150 / dobson
lima DEC: 20 for 41 / lima NSC: 128 for 100 / DEC: 72 for 40 / okami DEC: 40 for 85
wieczorek +295: 50 for 147.50 / bhullar
lopez -121: 181.50 for 150 / perez
williams NSC: 30 for 105 / sanders
props
DEC O9.5: 20 for 133.80
DEC O10.5: 5 for 101.25
DEC O11.5: 2 for 165.50
parlays
33 for 27.82 reis-moraga O2.5 -270 & jotko-tavares O2.5 -290
33 for 31.06 reis-moraga O2.5 -270 & lima-okami O2.5 -240
33 for 29.87 jotko-tavares O2.5 -290 & lima-okami O2.5 -240
21 RR for 3,450.26: gaethjeRD3/ conditRD3/ vettoriRD1/ boetschRD3/ raineyRD3/ muellerSUB/ williamsRD1
35 RR for 2,254.37: gaethjepoirierDEC/ conditITD/ vettoriNSC/ boetschNSC/ raineysalikhovRD1/ wieczorek/ williamsNSC
30 RR for 1,034.71: vettoriSUB/ boetschITD/ salikhovRD1/ burnsRD2/ muellerITD/ lopezSUB
46.55 RR for 1,211.93: vettori/ watersonDEC/ boetsch/ raineyNSC/ burnsSUB/ limaDEC/ lopezDEC
50 RR for 959.98: gaethjepoirierO3.0/ vettoriNSC/ reisDEC/ tavaresDEC/ burnsSUB/ limaDEC
21 RR for 2,132.57: gaethjeRD3/ vettoriSUB/ watersonSUB/ raineySUB/ tavaresKO/ burnsRD3/ limaSUB
---

mehhhhhhhhhhh not confident today
 

JustBleedFan

Moderator
Staff member
UFC on Fox 29 Risk $3359.75

Justin Gaethje (+125) vs Dustin Poirier $200.00 for $250.00
Justin Gaethje/Dustin Poirier Over 1½ (-155) $310.00 for $200.00
Justin Gaethje wins in round 3 (+900) $15.00 for $135.00

Alex Oliveira (-200) vs Carlos Condit $200.00 for $100.00
Alex Oliveira (-200) vs Carlos Condit $200.00 for $100.00
Alex Oliveira -3½ points (+135) $75.00 for $101.25
Alex Oliveira wins inside distance (+281) $50.00 for $140.50
Alex Oliveira wins by TKO/KO (+365) $35.00 for $127.75
Alex Oliveira wins by KO/TKO/DQ in round 1 (+800) ~$8.00 for ~$64.00
Alex Oliveira wins in round 1 (+525) $20.00 for $105.00
Alex Oliveira wins in round 1 (+600) ~$16.00 for ~$96.00
Carlos Condit wins by submission in round 3 (+7000) ~$8.00 for ~$560.00
Alex Oliveira/Carlos Condit Under 2½ (+160) $100.00 for $160.00
Alex Oliveira/Carlos Condit time out in the fight (+210) ~$8.00 for ~$16.80

Marvin Vettori (+225) vs Israel Adesanya $200.00 for $450.00
Marvin Vettori wins by submission (+800) ~$24.00 for ~$192.00
Marvin Vettori/Israel Adesanya Over 1½ (-150) $300.00 for $200.00

Cortney Casey (+105) vs Michelle Waterson $200.00 for $210.00
Cortney Casey wins inside distance (+525) $25.00 for $131.25
Cortney Casey wins by submission (+695) $25.00 for $173.75

Tim Boetsch (+220) vs Antonio Carlos Junior $100.00 for $220.00
Tim Boetsch wins by TKO/KO (+515) $40.00 for $206.00
Tim Boetsch wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+700) ~$16.00 for ~$112.00
Tim Boetsch/Antonio Carlos Junior Under 1½ (+127) $100.00 for $127.00

Ricky Rainey (+165) vs Muslim Salikhov $100.00 for $165.00

John Moraga (+110) vs Wilson Reis $200.00 for $220.00
John Moraga wins by TKO/KO (+550) $20.00 for $110.00

Krzysztof Jotko scorecards = no action (+153) vs Brad Tavares $75.00 for $114.75

Gilbert Burns/Dan Moret Under 2½ $100.00 for $110.00

Lauren Mueller (-115) vs Shana Dobson $115.00 for $100.00
Lauren Mueller wins inside distance (+500) $20.00 for $100.00
Lauren Mueller wins by submission (+1100) ~$16.00 for ~$176.00
Lauren Mueller wins in round 3 (+1950) $10.00 for $195.00

Dhiego Lima (+110) vs Yushin Okami $100.0 for $110.00
Dhiego Lima wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+700) ~$16.00 for ~$112.00
Dhiego Lima/Yushin Okami Under 2½ (+215) $50.00 for $107.50

Arjan Bhullar -3½ points (-205) vs Adam Wieczorek $82.00 for $40.00

Alejandro Perez/Matthew Lopez Over 2½ (-230) $69.00 for $30.00

Luke Sanders/Patrick Williams Under 1½ (-117) $87.75 for $75.00

Justin Gaethje/Dustin Poirier awarded FOTN bonus (+157) ~$24.00 for ~$37.68
 

Perra

Active Member
70$ Vettori +225
20$ Vettori sub +1100
10$ Vettori rd2 +1600
5$ Vettori sub rd2 +3000
35$ Rainey +162
20$ Reis/Moraga itd
50$ Sanders/Williams u1,5 +125
35$ Perez
20$ Perez dec +200
10$ Okami rd2 +1400
20$ Gaethje tko/ko +200
10$ Oliveira tko/ko +350



40$ (15$ Freebet money) RR: Perez dec + ACJ dec + Rainey dec + Mueller itd to win 3200$
40$ rr: Rainey dec + Vettori + Condit/BC u2,5 + Gaethje tko/ko to win 1400$
20$ Reis/Moraga itd + Stylebender/Vettori o1,5 +325
10$ Okami rd2 + Vettori rd2 to win 2600$
30$ Oliveira + Casey +180
 

Will

Administrator
Staff member
1u Justin +105 ( got this early. dont love it )
.5u Carlos +160 ( will add another .5u at end of rd 1 )
.5u Vettori +215 ( will add another .5u at end of rd 1 if rd 1 was competitive )
.25u Tim KO +550
 

ezflyer

Active Member
UFC 129 Net: -2,833.37
gaethje -112: 1,112.10 for 988.56 / ITD: 205 for 100
condit -142: 625 for 438.75 / condit RD3: 25 for 450 / ITD: 100 for 140
vettori +299: 675 for 2,020 / ITD: 200 for 150
waterson +147: 350 for 515.50 / waterson DEC: 60 for 147.20
boetsch ITD: 20 for 88 / boetsch KO: 20 for 103 / boetsch RD3: 12 for 204
rainey +205: 625 for 1,283.75 / rainey SUB: 15 for 195
reis +192: 280 for 537.50
jotko +350: 40 for 140 / jotko DEC: 20 for 41

mueller -107: 203.50 for 190 / mueller NSC: 92 for 93.50
lima DEC: 20 for 41 / lima NSC: 128 for 100 / DEC: 72 for 40 / okami DEC: 40 for 82
wieczorek +295: 50 for 147.50

lopez -121: 181.50 for 150
williams NSC: 30 for 105
props
DEC O9.5: 20 for 133.80
DEC O10.5: 5 for 101.25
DEC O11.5: 2 for 165.50

parlays
33 for 27.82 reis-moraga O2.5 -270 & jotko-tavares O2.5 -290
33 for 31.06 reis-moraga O2.5 -270 & lima-okami O2.5 -240
33 for 29.87 jotko-tavares O2.5 -290 & lima-okami O2.5 -240
21 RR for 3,450.26: gaethjeRD3/ conditRD3/ vettoriRD1/ boetschRD3/ raineyRD3/ muellerSUB/ williamsRD1
35 RR for (paid -31.20) 2,254.37: gaethjepoirierDEC/ conditITD/ vettoriNSC/ boetschNSC/ raineysalikhovRD1/ wieczorek/ williamsNSC
30 RR for 1,034.71: vettoriSUB/ boetschITD/ salikhovRD1/ burnsRD2/ muellerITD/ lopezSUB
46.55 RR for 1,211.93: vettori/ watersonDEC/ boetsch/ raineyNSC/ burnsSUB/ limaDEC/ lopezDEC
50 RR for 959.98: gaethjepoirierO3.0/ vettoriNSC/ reisDEC/ tavaresDEC/ burnsSUB/ limaDEC
21 RR for 2,132.57: gaethjeRD3/ vettoriSUB/ watersonSUB/ raineySUB/ tavaresKO/ burnsRD3/ limaSUB

50 RR for 384.71: gaethjeKO/ conditITD/ vettori/ watersonDEC/ NOTshoefaceSUB
50 RR for (paid -13.28) 194.77: gaethjeNSC/ conditolivITD/ vettoriNSC/ NOTcaseyDEC/ boetsch+3.5

---

that's a wrap for me, no exagerration. i don't have what it takes anymore and i think i've been kind of "looking" for this to happen, like, i've been asking for it.

it's been real, guys, was a fun few years. best of luck. don't chase.
 

JustBleedFan

Moderator
Staff member
UFC 129 Net: -2,833.37
gaethje -112: 1,112.10 for 988.56 / ITD: 205 for 100
condit -142: 625 for 438.75 / condit RD3: 25 for 450 / ITD: 100 for 140
vettori +299: 675 for 2,020 / ITD: 200 for 150
waterson +147: 350 for 515.50 / waterson DEC: 60 for 147.20
boetsch ITD: 20 for 88 / boetsch KO: 20 for 103 / boetsch RD3: 12 for 204
rainey +205: 625 for 1,283.75 / rainey SUB: 15 for 195
reis +192: 280 for 537.50
jotko +350: 40 for 140 / jotko DEC: 20 for 41

mueller -107: 203.50 for 190 / mueller NSC: 92 for 93.50
lima DEC: 20 for 41 / lima NSC: 128 for 100 / DEC: 72 for 40 / okami DEC: 40 for 82
wieczorek +295: 50 for 147.50

lopez -121: 181.50 for 150
williams NSC: 30 for 105
props
DEC O9.5: 20 for 133.80
DEC O10.5: 5 for 101.25
DEC O11.5: 2 for 165.50

parlays
33 for 27.82 reis-moraga O2.5 -270 & jotko-tavares O2.5 -290
33 for 31.06 reis-moraga O2.5 -270 & lima-okami O2.5 -240
33 for 29.87 jotko-tavares O2.5 -290 & lima-okami O2.5 -240
21 RR for 3,450.26: gaethjeRD3/ conditRD3/ vettoriRD1/ boetschRD3/ raineyRD3/ muellerSUB/ williamsRD1
35 RR for (paid -31.20) 2,254.37: gaethjepoirierDEC/ conditITD/ vettoriNSC/ boetschNSC/ raineysalikhovRD1/ wieczorek/ williamsNSC
30 RR for 1,034.71: vettoriSUB/ boetschITD/ salikhovRD1/ burnsRD2/ muellerITD/ lopezSUB
46.55 RR for 1,211.93: vettori/ watersonDEC/ boetsch/ raineyNSC/ burnsSUB/ limaDEC/ lopezDEC
50 RR for 959.98: gaethjepoirierO3.0/ vettoriNSC/ reisDEC/ tavaresDEC/ burnsSUB/ limaDEC
21 RR for 2,132.57: gaethjeRD3/ vettoriSUB/ watersonSUB/ raineySUB/ tavaresKO/ burnsRD3/ limaSUB

50 RR for 384.71: gaethjeKO/ conditITD/ vettori/ watersonDEC/ NOTshoefaceSUB
50 RR for (paid -13.28) 194.77: gaethjeNSC/ conditolivITD/ vettoriNSC/ NOTcaseyDEC/ boetsch+3.5

---

that's a wrap for me, no exagerration. i don't have what it takes anymore and i think i've been kind of "looking" for this to happen, like, i've been asking for it.

it's been real, guys, was a fun few years. best of luck. don't chase.
You've been going really deep, in the high hundreds of dollars, on live betting lately on certain fights, maybe out of seeing a perceived opportunity or due to frustration. Unfortunately those fights didn't go your way. That's where a lot of your recent losses came from.
 

JustBleedFan

Moderator
Staff member
Huge swing with Cortney Casey losing that split decision to Karate Hottie, unjustifiably in my mind. But Brazilian Cowboy came through huge for me to salvage the night and earn me a modest 1.90 units profit for the card.

UFC on Fox 29 Results


Justin Gaethje (+125) vs Dustin Poirier $200.00 for $250.00= -$200.00
Justin Gaethje/Dustin Poirier Over 1½ (-155) $310.00 for $200.00= $200.00
Justin Gaethje wins in round 3 (+900) $15.00 for $135.00= -$15.00

Alex Oliveira (-200) vs Carlos Condit $200.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Alex Oliveira (-200) vs Carlos Condit $200.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Alex Oliveira (-185) vs Carlos Condit $185.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Alex Oliveira -3½ points (+135) $75.00 for $101.25 = $101.25
Alex Oliveira wins inside distance (+281) $50.00 for $140.50= $140.50
Alex Oliveira wins by TKO/KO (+365) $35.00 for $127.75= -$35.00
Alex Oliveira wins by KO/TKO/DQ in round 1 (+800) ~$8.00 for ~$64.00= -~$8.00
Alex Oliveira wins in round 1 (+525) $20.00 for $105.00= -$20.00
Alex Oliveira wins in round 1 (+600) ~$16.00 for ~$96.00= -~$16.00
Carlos Condit wins by submission in round 3 (+7000) ~$8.00 for ~$560.00= -~$8.00
Alex Oliveira/Carlos Condit Under 2½ (+160) $100.00 for $160.00= $160.00
Alex Oliveira/Carlos Condit time out in the fight (+210) ~$8.00 for ~$16.80= -~$8.00
Live In-Play Alex Oliveira (+140) vs Carlos Condit $200.00 for $280.00= $280.00

Marvin Vettori (+225) vs Israel Adesanya $200.00 for $450.00= -$200.00
Marvin Vettori wins by submission (+800) ~$24.00 for ~$192.00= -~$24.00
Marvin Vettori/Israel Adesanya Over 1½ (-150) $300.00 for $200.00= $200.00

Cortney Casey (+105) vs Michelle Waterson $200.00 for $210.00= -$200.00
Cortney Casey wins inside distance (+525) $25.00 for $131.25= -$25.00
Cortney Casey wins by submission (+695) $25.00 for $173.75= -$25.00
Live In-Play Cortney Casey (+100) vs Michelle Waterson $200.00 for $200.00= -$200.00

Tim Boetsch (+220) vs Antonio Carlos Junior $100.00 for $220.00= -$100.00
Tim Boetsch wins by TKO/KO (+515) $40.00 for $206.00= -$40.00
Tim Boetsch wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+700) ~$16.00 for ~$112.00= -~$16.00
Tim Boetsch/Antonio Carlos Junior Under 1½ (+127) $100.00 for $127.00= $127.00

Ricky Rainey (+165) vs Muslim Salikhov $100.00 for $165.00= -$100.00

John Moraga (+110) vs Wilson Reis $200.00 for $220.00= $220.00
John Moraga wins by TKO/KO (+550) $20.00 for $110.00= -$20.00

Krzysztof Jotko scorecards = no action (+153) vs Brad Tavares $75.00 for $114.75= -$75.00

Gilbert Burns/Dan Moret Under 2½ $100.00 for $110.00= $110.00

Lauren Mueller (-115) vs Shana Dobson $115.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Lauren Mueller wins inside distance (+500) $20.00 for $100.00= -$20.00
Lauren Mueller wins by submission (+1100) ~$16.00 for ~$176.00= -~$16.00
Lauren Mueller wins in round 3 (+1950) $10.00 for $195.00= -$10.00

Dhiego Lima (+110) vs Yushin Okami $100.0 for $110.00= -$100.00
Dhiego Lima wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+700) ~$16.00 for ~$112.00= -~$16.00
Dhiego Lima/Yushin Okami Under 2½ (+215) $50.00 for $107.50= -$50.00

Arjan Bhullar -3½ points (-205) vs Adam Wieczorek $82.00 for $40.00= -$82.00

Alejandro Perez/Matthew Lopez Over 2½ (-230) $69.00 for $30.00= -$69.00

Luke Sanders/Patrick Williams Under 1½ (-117) $87.75 for $75.00= -$87.75

Justin Gaethje/Dustin Poirier awarded FOTN bonus (+157) ~$24.00 for ~$37.68= ~$37.68
-----
Sub-Total= $265.00
Sub-Total= -~$74.32

Total Profit= $190.68
 

Will

Administrator
Staff member
Sorry Ezy, That's a big one.

Depending on how your brain works, Perhaps reset your W/L counter for the year. Start at "0" then at the end of the year, combine your two numbers to see where you really ended up.

Thats what i would do. You have a long documented history of massive yearly wins. You can bounce back if you get your head right.

P.s I am up for the year, but not by much, its been a rough year for many people. So its probably not "you".
 

Wilbo86

Member
Ez you'v got an edge but you need to steady the ship for a while. After a long loosing streak I start seeing things that aren't there, making plays that I wouldn't usually make. I hate giving unsolicited advice, but when I'm in a situation like this, I set a rule, and pick just one fight each card you think has the juiciest lines and hit them, build your confidence back.
 

Mirinquads

Active Member
Staff member
UFC 129 Net: -2,833.37
gaethje -112: 1,112.10 for 988.56 / ITD: 205 for 100
condit -142: 625 for 438.75 / condit RD3: 25 for 450 / ITD: 100 for 140
vettori +299: 675 for 2,020 / ITD: 200 for 150
waterson +147: 350 for 515.50 / waterson DEC: 60 for 147.20
boetsch ITD: 20 for 88 / boetsch KO: 20 for 103 / boetsch RD3: 12 for 204
rainey +205: 625 for 1,283.75 / rainey SUB: 15 for 195
reis +192: 280 for 537.50
jotko +350: 40 for 140 / jotko DEC: 20 for 41

mueller -107: 203.50 for 190 / mueller NSC: 92 for 93.50
lima DEC: 20 for 41 / lima NSC: 128 for 100 / DEC: 72 for 40 / okami DEC: 40 for 82
wieczorek +295: 50 for 147.50

lopez -121: 181.50 for 150
williams NSC: 30 for 105
props
DEC O9.5: 20 for 133.80
DEC O10.5: 5 for 101.25
DEC O11.5: 2 for 165.50

parlays
33 for 27.82 reis-moraga O2.5 -270 & jotko-tavares O2.5 -290
33 for 31.06 reis-moraga O2.5 -270 & lima-okami O2.5 -240
33 for 29.87 jotko-tavares O2.5 -290 & lima-okami O2.5 -240
21 RR for 3,450.26: gaethjeRD3/ conditRD3/ vettoriRD1/ boetschRD3/ raineyRD3/ muellerSUB/ williamsRD1
35 RR for (paid -31.20) 2,254.37: gaethjepoirierDEC/ conditITD/ vettoriNSC/ boetschNSC/ raineysalikhovRD1/ wieczorek/ williamsNSC
30 RR for 1,034.71: vettoriSUB/ boetschITD/ salikhovRD1/ burnsRD2/ muellerITD/ lopezSUB
46.55 RR for 1,211.93: vettori/ watersonDEC/ boetsch/ raineyNSC/ burnsSUB/ limaDEC/ lopezDEC
50 RR for 959.98: gaethjepoirierO3.0/ vettoriNSC/ reisDEC/ tavaresDEC/ burnsSUB/ limaDEC
21 RR for 2,132.57: gaethjeRD3/ vettoriSUB/ watersonSUB/ raineySUB/ tavaresKO/ burnsRD3/ limaSUB

50 RR for 384.71: gaethjeKO/ conditITD/ vettori/ watersonDEC/ NOTshoefaceSUB
50 RR for (paid -13.28) 194.77: gaethjeNSC/ conditolivITD/ vettoriNSC/ NOTcaseyDEC/ boetsch+3.5

---

that's a wrap for me, no exagerration. i don't have what it takes anymore and i think i've been kind of "looking" for this to happen, like, i've been asking for it.

it's been real, guys, was a fun few years. best of luck. don't chase.



Only thing to take away here Ez, is that youre changing your betting style. That is a clear sign that youre not objective, and thats the thing you should asses.. not so much that youre on a bad beat right now, it happens to the best of us.. you have been profitable the last 5 years, thats insanely good over all.
 
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