your official ufn 81 bets

Napes21

Active Member
Way too many plays to list out in any nice manner - summary below:

Cruz ML / Dec and Over - a Cruz dec would net me about 3.5u
Alvarez ML / Dec / DNA / Handi- an Alvarez dec would net me about 4.5u and a finish about 3u
Meathead ML / TKO / DNA and Under - everything lands would net about 2.25u
Trinaldo ML / ITD / KO / DNA - would net about 2.5u
Saunders ML / ITD / DNA / Rd 1 - Hedge Cote dec / Over - if Saunders wins ITD net 1u - Cote wins a dec it's a wash - Cote finishes I'm fahked
Blanco/Sanders Over 2.5 to win 0.25u (was planning on playing more in this fight but didn't love lines on anything)
Wade dec / Handi - net to win 1u
Cruickshank ML / dec - net to win 4.25 - also on the Over and GTD to win 0.75u
Boetsch ML / dec - net to win 2u - hedge on Herman sub to win 4+u - also on the over to win 1u
Latifi ML to win 2.5u - hedge on OC TKO to win 1.5u
Mutapcic dec to win 0.25u and Over 2.5 to win 0.125u (yes kind of meaningless plays to list)

My writeup also sux but I am too lazy to do a nice EZ / JG style writeup - have around 50 plays total on the card and just don't care enough to put them all into a neat format
 

ezflyer

Active Member
miri, really like those plays -- not sure on pearson but don't fault ya on it, i'm having a tough time capping that one, personally.

napes: liking, too, tho idk on the boetsch / cruickshank bets (you might be a genius on cruick, i just am having trouble seeing it, the fault might be mine) -- oh , and against ya on saunders, but i get it, too
 

Napes21

Active Member
On Boetsch played it before the weighins and I typically don't blink cause of weighins. We'll see what happens come fight time. On Crunk the thought process is that Crunk has typically struggled when put on his back / faces superior grapplers - which Felder is not as far as I can tell - and when Crunk goes up against other strikers he can find his groove mixing his striking and wrestling. Do I love that he is still training at Michigan Top Team with god knows who - of course not. Would I pick him to win the fight outright - no - but I give him better than a 30% shot at winning with how Felder finds ways to lose fights and think there is still public love/hype built into the line on Felder.
 

Napes21

Active Member
Added plays on rosa ITD and fight ITD after watching Bochniak to win 0.5u. Seems like he hits hard without much else and is willing to come in guns blazing throwing without regard for getting countered. Looked like he got stung with some body kicks his last time out. Think one of these dudes will find a way to finish and Rosa just seems closer to a finished product than Bochniak to me. Also Boch just fought last week and trains out of some no-name gym as opposed to Rosa getting a full camp in with ATT.
 

ezflyer

Active Member
Jesus. Never mind. That's embarrassing. I am an idiot.

I somehow misplaced Cruick with Makdessi in my head.
what are you, cross-eyed?

 

ezflyer

Active Member
Added plays on rosa ITD and fight ITD after watching Bochniak to win 0.5u. Seems like he hits hard without much else and is willing to come in guns blazing throwing without regard for getting countered. Looked like he got stung with some body kicks his last time out. Think one of these dudes will find a way to finish and Rosa just seems closer to a finished product than Bochniak to me. Also Boch just fought last week and trains out of some no-name gym as opposed to Rosa getting a full camp in with ATT.
tempting, i have no action on that
 

JustBleedFan

Active Member
UFN 81 Risk $3170.70

Dominick Cruz (+120) vs T.J. Dillashaw $200.00 for $240.00
Dominick Cruz wins by 5 round decision (+255) $50.00 for $127.50

Eddie Alvarez (+275) vs Anthony Pettis $100.00 for $275.00
Eddie Alvarez +3½ points (+130) $50.00 for $65.00
Eddie Alvarez wins by 3 round decision (+475) $40.00 for $190.00
Anthony Pettis wins by submission (+510) $20.00 for $102.00

Travis Browne (-160) vs Matt Mitrione $160.00 for $100.00
Travis Browne wins by submission (+1085) $10.00 for $108.50

Francisco Trinaldo (+140) vs Ross Pearson $100.00 for $140.00
Francisco Trinaldo (+130) vs Ross Pearson $100.00 for $130.00

Patrick Cote (+105) vs Ben Saunders $200.00 for $210.00
Patrick Cote/Ben Saunders Over 2½ (+100) $50.00 for $50.00
Patrick Cote wins by 3 round decision (+250) $40.00 for $100.00
Ben Saunders scorecards = no action (-144) vs Patrick Cote $57.60 for $40.00
Ed Herman/Tim Boetsch Under 2½ (-130) $65.00 for $50.00
Ed Herman wins by 3 round decision (+490) $25.00 for $122.50
Chris Wade -3½ points (-150) vs Mehdi Baghdad $75.00 for $50.00
Chris Wade wins by submission (+350) $20.00 for $70.00
Chris Wade wins in round 3 (+1375) $10.00 for $137.50
Maximo Blanco (-130) vs Luke Sanders $130.00 for $100.00
Maximo Blanco wins inside distance (+277) $25.00 for $69.25

Paul Felder (-230) vs Daron Cruickshank $230.00 for $100.00
Paul Felder/Daron Cruickshank Over 1½ (-180) $100.00 for $55.56
Paul Felder wins by 3 round decision (+240) $50.00 for $120.00
Ilir Latifi (-210) vs Sean O'Connell $210.00 for $100.00
Ilir Latifi/Sean O'Connell Under 1½ (+150) $50.00 for $75.00
Charles Rosa/Kyle Bochniak Under 2½ (-105) $52.50 for $50.00
Rob Font/Joey Gomez won’t start round 3 (-154) $61.60 for $40.00
Elvis Mutapcic/Francimar Barroso Over 2½ (-125) $50.00 for $40.00

Not Exactly five fights end in KO/TKO (-359) $359.00 for $100.00
Not Exactly six fights go distance (-370) $370.00 for $100.00

Fights to go distance over 6½ (+152) $40.00 for $60.80
Fights to go distance over 7½ (+380) $25.00 for $95.00
Fights to go distance over 8½ (+1033) $15.00 for $154.95
Fights to go distance over 9½ (+3025) $10.00 for $302.50
Fights to go distance over 10½ (+14000) $5.00 for $700.00

Dominick Cruz/TJ Dillashaw FOTN award winner (+300) $15.00 for $45.00
 

ezflyer

Active Member
knew you'd take cruz-dillashaw FOTN, jim, hehe

haaaaaaate the $700+ on the "NOT five ko, NOT 6 dec", personally, but hope you hit...

really like the rest of your action, tho
 

ezflyer

Active Member
ufn 81 Risk: 2,755
cruz +120: 200 for 240 / cruz DEC: 40 for 102 / draw: 2 for 300 / dillashaw nojudges: 145 for 100
alvarez +250: 100 for 250 / alvarez SUB: 4 for 92 / alvarez DEC: 40 for 190 / alvarez +3.5: 150 for 195 / pettis SUB: 20 for 102
browne -151: 301.50 for 200 / browne SUB: 20 for 217 / mitrione
trinaldo +143: 100 for 142.50 / pearson
cote +112: 150 for 167.50 / O2.5: 50 for 60 / saunders
herman DEC: 20 for 98 / herman +3.5: 100 for 115 / boetsch
wade -3.5: 150 for 100 / wade SUB: 50 for 297.50 / wade RD 3: 10 for 137.50 / baghdad
blanco -146: 291.50 for 200 / sanders
felder -215: 215 for 100 / cruickshank
latifi -220: 220 for 100 / latifi SUB: 20 for 90 / U1.5: 50 for 72.50 / o'connell
rosa RD 3: 10 for 80 / bochniak
font-gomez U1.5: 40 for 50
mutapcic DEC: 40 for 93.60 / O2.5: 110 for 100 / barroso
props
DEC O6.5: 40 for 60.80
DEC O7.5: 13 for 49.40
DEC O8.5: 5 for 51.65
DEC O9.5: 2 for 60.50
DEC O10.5: 1 for 140
FOTN: cote-saunders: 10 for 70
parlays
35 RR for 737.01: cruzDEC/ alv+3.5/ coteDEC/ herm+3.5/ wadeITD/ rosaITD/ mutapDEC
---

guess i'm set pre-event
 

bum

Active Member
1.8u to win 1.5u ~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Ben Saunders
1u for 1.25u ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Trinaldo
.2u for 1.4u ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Herman SUB
.3u for 1.8u ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ O'Connell KO/TKO/DQ
1.5u for 2.2u ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Rosa + Felder + Wade
1u for 1.09u ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Rosa ITD
.5u to win 1.4u ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Mutapcic DEC

Event Props

.2u for 2u ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Rosa / Bochniak FOTN


going to add more, of course. I think a lot of lines are going to move in my favor..
 

ezflyer

Active Member
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