your official ufc on fox 15 bets

ezflyer

Active Member
post 'em
 

ezflyer

Active Member
1u Holloway +150

1.35u Cummins -135
0.78u Cummins-OSP O2.5 -155

0.5u Villante +200

1u +134: rockhold & pena (ufn 63)
0.5u +167: rockhold & guida-peralta O2.5 (ufn 63)
0.5u +169: rockhold & awad (bella 136)
---
 

Wilbo86

Member
.5u dariush
.5u osp
2.5 u Mizugaki
.5 u means
2 u camozzi/souza -1.5r
.5u herring/Vanzant -2.5
.8u means by decision.
10u souza to win
.25 u hettes by sub
.5 u osp by submission
1 u Sousa my KO

Will be adding miz be decision relatively large soon
 

ezflyer

Active Member
UFC Fox 15 Risk: 1,765.50
Rockhold: 300 parlays / Machida
Jacare-Camozzi: idk
Holloway +142: 200 for 283.50 - 25 parlays / Holloway DEC: 40 for 112 / Swanson
VanZant DEC: 40 for 94 / O2.5: 102 for 60 - 100 parlays / Herrig
Miller +155: 150 for 232.50 - 25 parlays / Dariush
Cummins -130: 195 for 150 - 25 parlays / Cummins -3.5: 30 for 54 / O2.5: 77.50 for 50 - 50 parlay / OSP
Villante +261: 150 for 391 - 25 parlays / Villante +3.5: 70 for 98 / Anderson
Mizugaki +300: 50 for 150 - 25 parlays / Sterling
Sullivan +135: 100 for 135 - 25 parlays / Sullivan DEC: 40 for 100 / Means
Brandao: 50 parlays / Brandao DEC: 25 for 101.25 / O1.5: 71 for 50 / Hettes
Gordon -3.5: 50 parlays / Dempsey
props
parlays
100 for 133.77 rockhold -140 & pena -275 (ufn 63)
50 for 83.33 rockhold -140 & guida-peralta O2.5 -180 (ufn 63)
50 for 84.69 rockhold -140 & awad -175 (bella 136)
50 for 80.65 rockhold -155 & cummins-osp O2.5 -170
50 for 76.72 rockhold -155 & pvz-herrig O2.5 -185
25 for 36.28 herrig-vanzant O2.5 -190 & brandao -165
25 for 32.73 herrig-vanzant O2.5 -190 & gordon -3.5 -195
25 for 35.74 brandao -165 & gordon -3.5 -195
50 for 1,051.69 RR: holloway/ miller/ cummins/ villante/ mizugaki/ sullivan
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not officially done, but set for now. might add some props. again, live betting planned. expecting miller to start strongly; if no live betting, would not have 1.5u on him straight.

i know i got a subpar price on villante, but i really like the bet.
 

JustBleedFan

Moderator
Staff member
Still deciding on the rest of my action but this is the single biggest bet I have ever made on a fight. I was leaning Rockhold anyway but to me watching on a big screen tv, it was plain as day that Lyoto is injured, probably in his left shoulder, as he visibly winced in pain when he raised his arms up and when he pulled his shirt off. I just re-watched it again and I can't believe the analysts didn't pick up on it.

UFC on Fox 15


Luke Rockhold (-160) vs Lyoto Machida $640.00 for $400.00
 

ezflyer

Active Member
they heard weidman say he's picking machida right when it happened, so they all looked at him, i'm sure.

but i really don't know if it's anything. don't go crazy on it, i like your bet, but this could be nothing (the wince thing)
 

Wilbo86

Member
.5u dariush
.5u osp
2.5 u Mizugaki
.5 u means
2 u camozzi/souza -1.5r
.5u herring/Vanzant -2.5
.8u means by decision.
10u souza to win
.25 u hettes by sub
.5 u osp by submission
1 u Sousa my KO

Will be adding miz be decision relatively large soon

Added mis decision, Vanzant ML, and souza-camozzi ITD bacuse i found a line that was far better than comparable angles elsewhere. And added OSP straight and ITD
 

Napes21

Active Member
Way too many plays on this card - ideal situations for me are (between straight plays, props and over/unders I'm all over the place):

Rockhold dec
Souza sub
Holloway dec
Herrig dec
Miller dec
Cummins TKO
Anderson via whatever
Mizugaki dec
Sullivan TKO

Am considering Brandao
 

ezflyer

Active Member
Dana loves the ladies: Herrig/Van Zant FOTN at +550. Gotta put a sawbuck on that.

hrmmm. maybe. a lottttta competition for FOTN
 

JustBleedFan

Moderator
Staff member
hrmmm. maybe. a lottttta competition for FOTN

I'll take a gamble for ten bucks. It'll probably get cancelled for four POTN bonuses anyway.

I also like the submissions over 2½, 3½, 4½ & 5½ props on this card. I think there are several fights that are somewhat likely to end in a submission including some where either fighter could win by sub: Brandao/Hettes (either), St. Preux/Cummins (either), Dariush/Miller (either), Souza/Camozzi, Rockhold/Machida. Few other fights have an outside chance of a sub too.
 

ezflyer

Active Member
I'll take a gamble for ten bucks. It'll probably get cancelled for four POTN bonuses anyway.

I also like the submissions over 2½, 3½, 4½ & 5½ props on this card. I think there are several fights that are somewhat likely to end in a submission including some where either fighter could win by sub: Brandao/Hettes (either), St. Preux/Cummins (either), Dariush/Miller (either), Souza/Camozzi, Rockhold/Machida. Few other fights have an outside chance of a sub too.

Understandable.. Tho i went with o6.5 (& up) decisions. . which would likely yield a FOTN ... Thinking of doing Holloway-Swanson +400.. Idk, tho
 

OnTheO

Active Member
I have:
Rockhold
Cummins
Herrig
Brandao
Villante

And a parlay on:
Gordon + sterling + Jacare

So fade all those if you like money
 

ezflyer

Active Member
went with holloway-cub for fotn, very small. +400.
 

ezflyer

Active Member
0.2u camozzi +1300, can't resist, lol.

Adding to villante +3.5, too
 
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