Your Official UFC 199 Bets

lucky

Active Member
Porlay (double): 30 unitz on Rockhold Inside the Distance (-330) & Cerronay (-170)...

U got 190 unitz down so far. Is this the most ever or just business as usual? I am on a lot of same plays. but not for as many squidz as u
 

Vaughany

Active Member
10 unitz on Faber by Decision @ +1000;

Value in this line IMO, main obvious reason being that this fight very likely goes the distance (a lot more often than the -200 to -225 line suggest), and Cruz doesn't have the power or stifling top control to completely dominate every round. IMO Faber could of easily gotten the nod in their last fight...he dropped Cruz twice! And this is coming from someone who had one of their biggest bets ever at the time on Cruz by Decision.

Porlay (double): 30 unitz on Felder (-250) & Cruz/Faber Goes the Distance (-200); (William Hill)
 

ezflyer

Active Member
...alright, fine, i'm not retired. but i'm probably not gonna go big on ufc 199.

first run:

0.1u faber SPLIT +1775
0.25u cruz SPLIT +900
0.5u faber NSC +311

1u lamas +250

0.85u ortega-guida O1.5 -170

0.5u andrade +145
1.5u andrade-penne O1.5 -150

2.55u miller -170

1.75u dariush -175

1.13u breese -113

0.6u mutapcic -120
 

Perra

Active Member
This is an event where I will parlay favourites, picking them winnerz! Don't think that many underdogs gonna win.

50$ Holloway + Hendo/Lombard u1,5 +100
50$ Cole Miller + Cruz/Faber 04,5 +125
50$ Cole Miller -3,5pts (+100)
25$ Miller sub +300
25$ Dariush sub +375
40$ Rockhold rd 2 +300
13$ (limits) fight to end in unanimous decision (Cruz/Faber) +100
60$ Lombard rd 1 (-115)
50$ Fight ends in tko/ko rd 1 (-130)
20$ Breese tko/ko +750
35$ Green dec (+333)
10$ Holloway rd 3 (+1200)

10$ Lotto Tickets:

(1) - Rockhold decision & Holloway rd 3 & Green decision (to win 5070$)
(2) - Lombard tko/ko rd 1 & Miller & Green dec & Cruz dec & Holloway dec (to win 454$)
 
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Vaughany

Active Member
Porlay (double): 10 unitz on Ortega/Guida Over 1.5 Rounds (-200) & Rockhold/Bisping Wont Start Round 3 (-200);

Porlay (double): 30 unitz on Ortega (-250) & Rockhold/Bisping Wont Start Round 4 (-340);

50 unitz on Rockhold TKO/KO @ Evens;
 
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JustBleedFan

Moderator
Staff member
Risky Vaughany! Are you counting on Ortega to submit Guida between the middle of the second round and the final bell? I think he likely loses a decision if it goes the distance. Also I know Rockhold predicted a KO, but what if he gets the sub again?
 

JoshKnows46

Active Member
Risky Vaughany! Are you counting on Ortega to submit Guida between the middle of the second round and the final bell? I think he likely loses a decision if it goes the distance. Also I know Rockhold predicted a KO, but what if he gets the sub again?

If ortega doesn't sub him he loses, but ortega has a dangerous guard, and he likely subs him, because Guida likely looks to take it down, and ortega is more than happy to work from his back. Maybe bet ortega sub, hedged with Guida dec, feel it's either one or the other, most probable is ortega sub.
 

JustBleedFan

Moderator
Staff member
If ortega doesn't sub him he loses, but ortega has a dangerous guard, and he likely subs him, because Guida likely looks to take it down. Maybe bet ortega sub, hedged with Guida dec, feel it's either one or the other
I just bet 1u on Guida at +235 figuring I'll add Guida decision later and then hedge both with Ortega by sub.
 

JustBleedFan

Moderator
Staff member
My action so far- going to hedge Guida plays with Ortega sub when it's released:

Clay Guida (+235) vs Brian Ortega $100.00 for $235.00
Clay Guida wins by 3 round decision (+325) $100.00 for $325.00

Jessica Andrade (+130) vs Jessica Penne $100.00 for $130.00
Jessica Andrade wins by 3 round decision (+187) $100.00 for $187.00
 

JustBleedFan

Moderator
Staff member
I like this parlay to kick off the main card:

Dustin Poirier/Bobby Green Over 2½ (-200) + Dan Henderson/Hector Lombard Under 1½ (-190) $100.00 for $128.95
 

Vaughany

Active Member
Porlay (double): 30 unitz on Holloway/Lamas To Go the Distance (-200) & Rockhold/Bisping Doesn't Start Round 4 (-350);
 

Vaughany

Active Member
Summary of bets so far:

Porlay (double): 30 unitz on Rockhold Inside the Distance (-330) & Cerronay (-170)...
10 unitz on Faber by Decision @ +1000;

Value in this line IMO, main obvious reason being that this fight very likely goes the distance (a lot more often than the -200 to -225 line suggest), and Cruz doesn't have the power or stifling top control to completely dominate every round. IMO Faber could of easily gotten the nod in their last fight...he dropped Cruz twice! And this is coming from someone who had one of their biggest bets ever at the time on Cruz by Decision.

Porlay (double): 30 unitz on Felder (-250) & Cruz/Faber Goes the Distance (-200); (William Hill)

30 unitz on Poirier/Green to Go the Distance @ -165;
Porlay (double): 10 unitz on Ortega/Guida Over 1.5 Rounds (-200) & Rockhold/Bisping Wont Start Round 3 (-200);

Porlay (double): 30 unitz on Ortega (-250) & Rockhold/Bisping Wont Start Round 4 (-340);

50 unitz on Rockhold TKO/KO @ Evens;

Porlay (double): 30 unitz on Holloway/Lamas To Go the Distance (-200) & Rockhold/Bisping Doesn't Start Round 4 (-350);

30 unitz on Rockhold/Bisping Wont Start Round 4 (-360) & Cruz/Faber Goes the Distance (-220);
 

TheCalculator

Active Member
Relatively small bets so far. Nothing screams bet big except Vick

1 u Bobby Green
3 u Vick
2 u Andrade
1 u Strickland 1 u Strickland decision
1 u Casey
1 u Wilson under 1.5
About 5u in a variety of parlays including: Holloway, Rockhold itd, Cruz/Faber distance, Lombard, Reyes/polo not distance
 

ezflyer

Active Member
UFC 199 Risk: 1,851.50
rockhold-bisping O1.5: 50 for 54.50
faber +410: 50 for 205 / Faber split: 10 for 177.50 / faber NSC: 50 for 155.50 / cruz split: 25 for 225
Lamas +250: 100 for 250 / lamas +3.5: 50 for 65 - 21 parlays / holloway
lombard RD1: 21 parlays / U1.0: 75 for 50 / hendo
poirier -195: 195 for 100 / green
ortega SUB: 21 parlays / O1.5: 85 for 50 / guida
dariush -178: 355 for 200 / dariush ITD: 40 for 102.40 / dariush SUB: 21 parlays / vick
penne SUB: 21 parlays / O2.5: 150 for 100 / andrade
miller -173: 345 for 200 / miller SUB: 21 parlays / caceres
breese -113: 112.50 for 100 / strickland
wilson-da silva: no bet
mutapcic -120: 60 for 50 / mutapcic DEC: 50 for 207.50 - 21 parlays / casey
dhk-reyes: no bet
props
parlays
49 RR for 1,633.25: lamas+3.5/ lombardRD1/ ortegaSUB/ dariushSUB/ penneSUB/ millerSUB/ mutapcicDEC
---

guess i jumped the gun on a couple lines and/or didn't hedge when they hit their peaks. oh well, liked the bets when i made them.

don't even remember what it feels like to win on a ufc :p

(not officially done, but probably close)
 
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