wsof 25 - lightweight tourney

ezflyer

Active Member
for the proficient under/over players..
is foster/zefer u1.5 -150 any good?
man, idk. zeferino looked durable in the ufc, but foster is a reckless dude. and you gotta think foster is going to come out blasting, due to tourney format.
 

Sky

Member
yea you would think so. was thinking if zeferino wants a sub win in two rounds he shudnt be wasting much time trying to get to it either.
 

ezflyer

Active Member
man, i have next to nothing pending for wsof. idk wth to do.

i have 0.55u on palomino-patishnock U1.5 -110 and 0.69u O1.5 patino-mamedov -138.

i can't pull trigger on other fights. ricci should win easily but price obviously sucks. condon kinda durable but missed weight. /shrug.

zeferino MIGHT have value.. or O1.5 MIGHT have value... but man, foster might come out guns blazing. kinda think he will, in fact.

payan-high? ugh, no clue. high wins, but idk how.

kinda considering mustapayev, over 2:1 vs burley, but it'll be 0.5u max if i even do it.
 

Sky

Member
ended up on high/payan u2.5 at +150 and thats all i got for wsof. maybe ill throw down a small parlay just to get my fix on
 
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ezflyer

Active Member
ended up on high/payan u2.5 at +150 and thats all i got for wsof. maybe ill throw down a small parlay just to get my fix on
you think high hits that chin then finishes him? sub or tko etc after touching that crappy payan chin?
 

BT

Active Member
ended up on high/payan u2.5 at +150 and thats all i got for wsof. maybe ill throw down a small parlay just to get my fix on
Same here. I know Payan's never been subbed but still think High can snatch a guillotine or maybe get a ko at some point, but not super confident.
 

JimGunn

Active Member
WSOF 25 Risk $300.00

Parlays:
Islam Mamadev (-550) + Mike Ricci (-1200) + Brian Foster (-245) + Luis Palomino (-360) $100.00 for $130.37
Round Robin: $20 each x 10 two-team parlays on all five tourney & reserve bout under 1½'s $200.00 for $519.53
 

ezflyer

Active Member
haha, ineresting plays

threw 0.25u on mustapayev +205, rarrrr
 

ezflyer

Active Member
haha

high-payan

"does not go 3 rounds" is +110

U2.5 is +103
 

ezflyer

Active Member
WSOF25 WSOF - Lightweight Tournament
Fri 11/20 9:00PM
Odds to win the WSOF 25 8-Man Lightweight Tournament
Islam Mamedov
+200
Brian Foster
+225
Mike Ricci
+225
Luis Palomino
+700
Joao Zeferino
+700
LaRue Burley
+925
Richard Patishnock
+1200
Jorge Patino
+1200
Ramil Mustapayev
+1500
Joe Condon
+2000

---

5d -> bet the board -> futures

the 3 favorites are all very low payout... tho it really should be one of those 3 guys...

palomino, maybe? considering those payouts?
 

ezflyer

Active Member
anyone know if there's a bracket?

like, if all 4 favorites win, what are the two semifinal matchups?
 

ezflyer

Active Member
if the weigh-in order is indicative, it would be mamedov vs ricci, foster vs palomino

so IF foster beats zeferino, he and palomino are gonna bruise eachother up hard... whereas mamedov vs ricci should be much more of a technical fight and maybe grappling

make of that what you will

that's IF the fight order dictates things, which it should
 

ezflyer

Active Member
IF i'm right on those matchups, i feel palomino is the only bettable line, honestly. +200ish for mamedov, foster, and ricci isn't worth it.

mamedov likely going to have two long fights. patino and ricci. palomino prolly wins first fight quickly and then IF he beats foster, it's prolly quick (or vice versa for foster) -- difference being that palo pays 3.5x more.

small bet on palomino +700
 

ezflyer

Active Member
oh god, i just talked myself into 0.2u payan +590 and 0.625u O2.5 -125

i just can't get past that payan has never been subbed, high doesn't have much power.
 

BT

Active Member
stabbed at Palomino, only got +575, though. Still like your line of thinking, so followed.
 

ezflyer

Active Member
mustapayev is whooping burley right now, rd 1 over, 10-9 mustapayev, and both guys threw down HARD
 

ezflyer

Active Member
stabbed at Palomino, only got +575, though. Still like your line of thinking, so followed.
we prolly gonna lose, but was only reasonable line, IMO
 

ezflyer

Active Member
color me impressed by mustapayev. burley's conditioning was pretty shitty, tho.. i guess he figured reserve bout wouldn't get in the tourney, anyway, but he should've, cause it happens all the time in tournaments

mustapayev is freakin legit, if he gets a shot to replace someone later
 

ezflyer

Active Member
wtf? this going 3 rounds? i thought it was 2 only for the prelim bouts?

i don't think burley lasts another 5 mins

20-17 mustapayev
 

ezflyer

Active Member
30-26 mustapayev (prolly 30-27)

btw, meant to mention earlier: no elbows till finals, could hurt ricci, that's one of his weapons
 
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