I am going to lose money on Cub again... arent i.
This fight, when its over, is going to look like the winner should have been -400. As mentioned it will depend on whether kron can get a td. Kron doesnt have the attributes that make me confident he can get tds against someone with good tdd, but i dont think that's cub. Also cub doesnt have great fight iq imo, and will probably give kron an opening. Its only going to take 1 opportunity for kron to lock something up imo.
1.5u on kron -160
Looks like Joanna is doing her best to make weight and keep the fight on with Waterson. I think she'll come close and look good hopefully. I went big on Joanna when the price dropped today at -300 and -310. If she weighs in a little heavy and the fight stays on advantage to her unless she looks like death on the scale, on top of an already big stylistic advantage. If it's cancelled hopefully bets are voided quickly.
Karate Hottie keeps improving and she looks in incredible shape on social media, but I do think it's a bad matchup for her. Joanna is very tough to take down and a better striker than Waterson. Will be difficult for Waterson to land that head & arm throw she does. Unless Joanna is very diminished from the weight cut, certainly a possibility at this point, or gets caught cold early by a punch like she did against Rose who has much better boxing then Waterson, or one of Waterson's head kicks I think she wins a decision or maybe stops Waterson late.I struggle to see how Waterson can win this fight. Do you see a finish here?
10000 unitz on Gracie by Sub @ -105;
Cub always had questionable sub defence despite being a black belt. Edgar, Holloway, Moicano, Ortega, Lamas have all caught him.
1000 unitz on Waterson by Sub @ +850;
Don't think he necessarily needs to get a takedown per se, can just jump on Swanson's back sink hooks in and choke him. Swanson is past it, I dont see him being able to stay on his bike and keep moving