UFN 158 on ESPN+ 16 Cowboy vs Gaethje
- Thread starter JustBleedFan
- Start date
Gaethje vs cowboy and not a single comment in the thread! Had to rectify this situation.
I have no strong lean on this fight but i need some action (as if the fight isnt going to be exciting enough lol).
What is everyone thinking? Where u at @Vaughany ? @Mirinquads ?
I have no strong lean on this fight but i need some action (as if the fight isnt going to be exciting enough lol).
What is everyone thinking? Where u at @Vaughany ? @Mirinquads ?
I got 1.5u plays on glubber, shoeface, cirk, griffin, and sakai, 1.0u on azurr, and 0.75u on prepolec.
TheCalculator
Active Member
I think Gaethje destroys him. Gaethje made small critical defensive adjustments to his style on his last fight.
Justin Gaethje just told media he dealt with an eye infection during camp that almost forced him out of this fight
https://twitter.com/mikebohnmma/status/1171960614631034881?s=21
https://twitter.com/mikebohnmma/status/1171960614631034881?s=21
Had a look at the lines. Surprised to see Gaj rd 1 +300 at dimes. Considering that is Cerrone's cryptonite and Gaj's MO.
My aus book had Gaj KO rd 1 +375.
2u Gaj KO +375
Gaj in the UFC has faded in all of his fights that go long. I will probably live play Cowboy after rd 1 or rd 2 (if it gets there) at decent dog odds.
Cerrone even said in his fight against Al I that he was hurt badly in rd 1 and if Al had come on he would of been in trouble.
My aus book had Gaj KO rd 1 +375.
2u Gaj KO +375
Gaj in the UFC has faded in all of his fights that go long. I will probably live play Cowboy after rd 1 or rd 2 (if it gets there) at decent dog odds.
Cerrone even said in his fight against Al I that he was hurt badly in rd 1 and if Al had come on he would of been in trouble.
Capping atm, will report back.
Looking at so far:
Gadhjte and Gadhjte round 1. But this could be a 4-5 round finish for Cowboy ala Poirer, but Im not sure Cowboy can sustain the assualt for the new and improved defense Gad
Though Gad guard and habit of just covering up and countering if he can feel you hitting the guard could be bad news against Cowboy, as he loves coming up the middle with a knee / Jab, then keeping/ creating distance and coming around the side with a headkick (Gad was finished by a knee up the middle against Eddie too)
Looking at so far:
Gadhjte and Gadhjte round 1. But this could be a 4-5 round finish for Cowboy ala Poirer, but Im not sure Cowboy can sustain the assualt for the new and improved defense Gad
Though Gad guard and habit of just covering up and countering if he can feel you hitting the guard could be bad news against Cowboy, as he loves coming up the middle with a knee / Jab, then keeping/ creating distance and coming around the side with a headkick (Gad was finished by a knee up the middle against Eddie too)
Vaughany
Active Member
Seems on paper one of those where Cowboy gets cracked early - Till like fight. Gaethje has had eye issue I see, not sure how much that has affected his training/prep
Watched a vid on mmafighting where Justin spoke about it.
He refused to answer when he got the infection.
That’s a worry, it was likely recently if he is still wearing glasses because of light sensitivity . infections come with antibiotics.
Antibiotics plays with a fighthers gas tank.
Ergh....
I have multiple books that have Justin rd 1-2-3 at +110. That’s a great line in my opinion but it’s hard to put more on Justin with the above going on. :/
UFC Vancouver Official Weigh-in:
Post-USADA Todd Duffee doesn't look in the same shape physically as he did back in the day. Even his body language seemed weird on the scale.
Hall and Hall round 3 +1500 - Mostly for the value, though i did also hit shoeface decision at like +600.
Tex +110 and tex round 2 - Do i have to explain? Krylov's grappling is funny
Johns -130 - Better fighter all around.
Hughes -110, really a crab shoot, but Duffman returning after 4 years with no chin already..
COnnelly +450 - Pereria is the type of fighter to bet against as a fav and bet on as a dog.
Sakai / Tybura GTD, Griffin/skelly ITD, Smolka Sub for some parlay stuff
Tex +110 and tex round 2 - Do i have to explain? Krylov's grappling is funny
Johns -130 - Better fighter all around.
Hughes -110, really a crab shoot, but Duffman returning after 4 years with no chin already..
COnnelly +450 - Pereria is the type of fighter to bet against as a fav and bet on as a dog.
Sakai / Tybura GTD, Griffin/skelly ITD, Smolka Sub for some parlay stuff
They're up now.
Gah 8 mins of gianni is 7 mins more than i can handle
TLDR: You can't predict outcomes, just beat the closing line. And specifically, the betting syndicates and wiseguys are on Krylov.