Really surprised at the + odds on Darren Stewart here.
Is it because Winn is a Cormier protege? Not sure but its certainly not his performances against lawlor (who came for a payday and was out of shape ) and from what i remember a close fight with late notice spicely.
Or is it people expect Winn to try to exploit Stewarts (lack of) wrestling? Possibly.
This may be a 5u bet for me. I need to watch tape and wait for weigh ins before i go full ham though. I suspect Winn will drop a weight class after this one.
Stewart looked good against a frightened and gunshy Lewis who just had been knocked out for the first time in his life. He did nothing, which some fighters has a tendency to do after a KO loss. Could mention plenty of names, Ngannou against Lewis looked like a nothing we have ever seen from Ngannou, but after that dreadful performance he suddenly came back to his self again.
My point is that....the KO loss may obscure our view on that Stewarts performance against Bewon Lewis.
Many people made this mistake last weekend after betting Roundtree, forgetting that he had one good performance after a camp in Thailand, but still has no ground game.
So my next point is....either we see a smart Winn which will Cutelaba Stewart, or we have a performance from Stewart which is heavily influenced by a fighter that was scared to death after being KOed. So is he that good on the feet, or did lewis just made him look like a champ?
Winn may still fight like an idiot and get pot shotted from the outside, but he may also employ a gameplane with wrestling, and i do not under any circumstances expect Stewart to have a chance in hell to withstand that wrestling onsluaght. And black explosive fighters, they are weak mentally often when taken down. Listen, i am black, so no race card here please, but yeah.
So as Stewart POTENTIALLY, being worse than we expect, has a really bad ground game going into a fight with a 4 time national champ in wrestling, i will be careful.
But im also open for that my assessment is utterly crap!!