UFC 229: Khabib vs McGregor

punisherind

Moderator
Foundation Member
love when conor fights. We get all these degen props. I imagine there will be some stuff for the actual fight like how long will buffers intro be and if he's wearing a suit or tuxedo.
 

JustBleedFan

Moderator
Staff member
love when conor fights. We get all these degen props. I imagine there will be some stuff for the actual fight like how long will buffers intro be and if he's wearing a suit or tuxedo.
Tiny limits on those DSI props, to win $25 max on + or - money.
 

punisherind

Moderator
Foundation Member
yea, shitty limits except the market for total ppv buys. i took over 2m ppv buys at +6500. its weird though. first it let me bet max to win $250, but then it accepted a few more $1 and $2 bets. got a total of $10 to win $650 on it.
 

JustBleedFan

Moderator
Staff member
yea, shitty limits except the market for total ppv buys. i took over 2m ppv buys at +6500. its weird though. first it let me bet max to win $250, but then it accepted a few more $1 and $2 bets. got a total of $10 to win $650 on it.
The grading of those PPV buys bets are always so sketchy depending on who reports what and if they go by estimated buys from Dave Meltzer or there is some way to really confirm them somehow and do they add up the online PPV buys through Fight Pass and elsewhere (I think not) and when the cut off is like a week later, two weeks later? You're really gambling with what gets reported here.
 

punisherind

Moderator
Foundation Member
agree, but +6500 and only a few bucks. have to take a stab at that, especially when dana could grease some pockets in exchange for a favorable number. dsi might even grade it based on what dana reports himself.
 

punisherind

Moderator
Foundation Member
if you take 1.61M - 1.7M (+520), 1.71M - 2M (+700), and Over 2M (+6500), you get net odds of +231 that the fight breaks the current ppv record 1.6M
 

Skel

Member
I like McGregor to win this one. Khabib is way more lost on the feet than Conor is defending the takedown attempts, IMO.
 

JustBleedFan

Moderator
Staff member
I like McGregor to win this one. Khabib is way more lost on the feet than Conor is defending the takedown attempts, IMO.
I feel the same way, but we run the risk of looking awfully foolish if Conor gets wrestle fucked & exhausted and loses badly. He might just say screw all of you I'm rich, I don't care about MMA any more. Buy a bottle of Proper Twelve and look for news from McGregor Sports and Entertainment where we have some big things coming up etc.
 

mmaed

Member
I think the issue is if Conor can't knock Khabib out immediately and gets taken down he will probably fatigue at a fast rate while beneath Khabib. His punching power/efficacy could diminish fairly quickly.
 

Will

Administrator
Staff member
 

Skel

Member
I think the issue is if Conor can't knock Khabib out immediately and gets taken down he will probably fatigue at a fast rate while beneath Khabib. His punching power/efficacy could diminish fairly quickly.
Yes, my biggest concern is that Khabib's giant skull will be able to withstand Conor's power (which is a little overblown, IMO). My general thinking on this one is that takedown defense is relatively easy to learn given the necessary athletic prerequisites. Striking is probably the most difficult element of MMA to pick up later in one's career and the hardest to be comfortable doing against the elite. I think Conor has the athletic abilities (both muscular and neurological) and the attention to technical detail to have developed very good takedown defense by this point. His length, distance management, angles, threat of striking, pressure etc. help him as well.
Khabib, on the other hand, seems to have the athleticism of one who has wrestled his whole life, which assists him in crushing his opponents on the mat. The downside to this specialization is that, on the feet, he is very stiff and slow for an elite LW. I am confident he will lose within his next several fights, even if it's not next Saturday.
The best paths for Khabib are: (1) Homer Simpsoning Conor, or (2) getting early takedowns and draining Conor's energy from him in a snowball effect
 

Will

Administrator
Staff member
This is some johnny Hendricks level weigh cutting gibberish here


That aside, looks like a rough weight cut and we still have some time to go.
 
Top