UFC 189 - aldo vs mcgregor line..(S)?

ezflyer

ezflyer

Active Member
Featherweight 5 rounds
fight must occur in Ireland for action
Sat 8/11001 Conor McGregor+125
7:00PM1002 Jose Aldo-165
fight must occur in USA for action
Sat 8/11001 Conor McGregor+160
7:00PM1002 Jose Aldo-210
fight must occur in Brazil for action
Sat 8/11001 Conor McGregor+185
7:00PM1002 Jose Aldo-265
 
ezflyer

ezflyer

Active Member
5dimes!

apparently it's gonna be may in vegas, according to dana
 
Skel

Skel

Member
Already put 5u on McGregor in USA +160. What I will "do with it" I'm still not entirely sure.
 
ezflyer

ezflyer

Active Member
so you think the price is gonna drop, skel?
 
ezflyer

ezflyer

Active Member
Yea, probably left some free money on the table
 
JustBleedFan

JustBleedFan

Moderator
Staff member
I really liked McGregor at +160, but no way was I going to lock up a significant portion of my bankroll until May. Even if I could have freerolled it later. Way too many fights between now and then.
 
ezflyer

ezflyer

Active Member
speaking of the fight itself..

i GOTTA think aldo is going to kick his damned legs off... am i off?
 
UFCMoneymaker

UFCMoneymaker

Member
Personally I have Aldo at 2/11 favourite but the hype for Conor will keep the money rolling in and a relatively balanced book with Aldo at around 4/7.

Around 48 hours before fight night those odds will tumble to around 1/4 as the pro's come steaming in for their free money.
 
ezflyer

ezflyer

Active Member
I would love to get aldo at a signigicantly reduced price
 
doubleRistretto

doubleRistretto

Member
UFCMoneymaker said:
Personally I have Aldo at 2/11 favourite but the hype for Conor will keep the money rolling in and a relatively balanced book with Aldo at around 4/7.

Around 48 hours before fight night those odds will tumble to around 1/4 as the pro's come steaming in for their free money.
Click to expand...

Appreciate the perspective of someone who sets odds on how the money will come in, thanks!
 
PSUMike

PSUMike

Active Member
UFCMoneymaker said:
Personally I have Aldo at 2/11 favourite but the hype for Conor will keep the money rolling in and a relatively balanced book with Aldo at around 4/7.

Around 48 hours before fight night those odds will tumble to around 1/4 as the pro's come steaming in for their free money.
Click to expand...

So just so I'm following, in American odds, you'd cap Aldo @ -450 but expect the odds to settle around -175 before jumping back up to -400? In other words, crush Aldo now.
 
UFCMoneymaker

UFCMoneymaker

Member
PSUMike said:
So just so I'm following, in American odds, you'd cap Aldo @ -450 but expect the odds to settle around -175 before jumping back up to -400? In other words, crush Aldo now.
Click to expand...
Pretty much. I would personally have Aldo as a -450 heavy favourite but the money keeps rolling in for Conor from Johnny Come Latelys. Bookies will lengthen Aldo as they shorten Conor. Aldo presently available around -200 which is stealing money, when the pro's start lumping on then those odds tumble and I predict around -400 come fight night.
 
Will

Will

Administrator
Staff member
Assuming you think Aldo leg kicks connor into a living death ?

I don't disagree... I just wonder how aldo will deal with connors reach and size.
I mean aldo hardly impressed against hominck ( supposedly he had a "cold " )
 
ezflyer

ezflyer

Active Member
Will said:
Assuming you think Aldo leg kicks connor into a living death ?

I don't disagree... I just wonder how aldo will deal with connors reach and size.
I mean aldo hardly impressed against hominck ( supposedly he had a "cold " )
Click to expand...

he still won the first 4 rounds and that was his worst performance in zuffa (hominick)

i absolutely think leg kicks are going to be a prime factor in this fight.

also, i wanna just touch on something that is more aldo related than aldo-cowboy related... aldo's cardio.

many many people say he has shit cardio. he lost rd 5 vs hominick, lost rd 5 vs lamas.. but i counter that with: he didn't have to win the round. he was clearly up 40-36.

frankie edgar is a cardio god. not many can say they have better cardio than frankie. if any. and that was a pretty close fight with aldo.. and who won rd 5? aldo. clearly. cause he had to...

just saying :)
 
Will

Will

Administrator
Staff member
Do you think Aldo wins the fight against mendes if he doesn't hit him two times after the bell in the first round and drops him ?
 
ezflyer

ezflyer

Active Member
yea, i guess i think aldo wins that fight anyway. as you know i had mendes bets
 
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