TUF 24 Finale - Mighty Mouse vs Elliot - Vegas

ezflyer

Active Member
all over mutapcic RD3 +1325 w/the way smith gasses, some on RD2 +725, too, and hammering mutapcic NSC +118, dude has never been finished & smith is a huge gasser
 

ezflyer

Active Member
moyle rd 2 +850, rd 3 +1550, moyle sub +505 (tho the ITD is +350..) -- and moyle NSC -104
 

ezflyer

Active Member
Juiccccccy

Will is banging adorable thai chicks in Thailand atm
 

ezflyer

Active Member
so somehow davis' ML has dropped like what, 15-20 points? and yet her NSC line just went from -182 to -129

oooooooooooooooook?

mcmann can't finish anyone, davis super durable, i finally found my path for a bet in this fight. davis NSC -129 all day.
 

ezflyer

Active Member
fight pass:

clark-stansbury
clark looks thicker back up at 205, no doubt. doesn't look like a small 205'er.
stansbury looks alright, decent enough for him, tho i still say he could be 185, himself
stansbury is 2" taller FWIW.

smith-mutapcic
smith long and lean 185 as usual
mutapcic looks solid, also same as always
smith is 2" taller

fs1 prelims:

moyle-curran
moyle looks strong, stocky lil girl. looks a bit fitter than on tuf, maybe?
curran lean as always, looks very good as usual
curran is 2-3" taller

o'reilly-DHK
o'reilly looks much better back down at 155. thick/strong.
DHK looks solid, about the same as last time at 155
DHK looks a LOT bigger, like 4+" taller

schnell-font
schnell looks alright up at 135. not too imposing, tho.
font looks alright.
they look about the same size, actually.

hall-maynard
hall looks alright, obviously skinny and not strong, but looks fine for him
gray looks solid at 145, but he even looks a bit gaunt in the face hours later than the first weigh in
hall is 2" taller

fs1 main:

moreno-benoit
benoit looks good, strong 125'er as usual
moreno looks ok. same as usual
moreno maybe 1" taller? hard to tell. jesus christ he doesn't stop smiling, lol, but it's not obnoxious or annoying somehow

mcmann-davis
davis looks actually not too bad after the layoff, i thought she looked a lil weary at the early weigh in, but after the baby/layoff, i expected worse
mcmann looks outstanding as always, freakin jacked.
they're pretty similarly sized

cannonier-cutelaba
cannonier looks pretty darn good down at 205, imo. leaner than before
cutelaba in full green yet again, but dyed his hair black this time, LOL! he looks outstanding
cutelaba is actually the bigger dude even tho cannonier dropping, 2+" taller (shoes on for cannonier)


masvidal-ellenberger
masvidal looks alright. never looks good, especially at 170. same as usual.
ellenberger looks solid. he's definitely looked worse. same as last fight pretty much.
they're the same size (masvidal shoes)

benavidez-cejudo
cejudo makes weight. looks solid. slimmer than during tuf, not surprisingly.
benavidez looks solid, but not as ripped as some fights IMO...
cejudo 1" taller i think

elliot-DJ
elliot looks the same as always, lean but solid, good size for 125, etc.
DJ doesn't look like he's taking this lightly, he looks great
elliot is 3" taller i think?
 

Mirinquads

Active Member
Staff member
Clark vs Stansbury
Kim vs O'reilly

How are peoples thoughts on these fights? Know little to nothing about Stansbury, other fight seems hard to call for me, Kim by being better and more aggressive possibly?
 

ezflyer

Active Member
Clark vs Stansbury
Kim vs O'reilly

How are peoples thoughts on these fights? Know little to nothing about Stansbury, other fight seems hard to call for me, Kim by being better and more aggressive possibly?

i lean kim, think he's only one with a chance to finish, too. super aggressive. but oreilly is a decent wrestler and might be able to LnP for a decision, i guess. idk. not a confident pick but i lean kim. think he wins on feet and it prolly comes down to how much of the time oreilly is on top on the ground if it goes to the judges..

i lean stansbury. clark is a strong dude, decent power early on and decent wrestling, but he is super raw and looks like he can't take a shot very well and doesn't have the best gastank, either. i think stansbury outlasts him. maybe latches onto a guillotine and taps a fatigued clark. also, sidenote.. clark ballooned up to 230 after his debut loss (which was at 185).. that's why he's going to 205 here (he fought 205 prior to ufc, but still.).
 

ezflyer

Active Member






















 

Perra

Active Member
Bet365 has really fucked up this time:

DJ rd 4 is +2500 FIght to end in rd 4 +3300
DJ rd 5 is +3300 fight to end in rd 5 +8000(!)

A shame I already bet those early DJ lines before they put up these lines. Already have to much on it, but I just love these lines.
 

Perra

Active Member
After watching some tape on Kim and O Reilly I like Kim straight up, and Kim ITD at almost +200

Not impressed at all by O Reilly - and he really struggles with the reach disadvantage, which he will have in this fight too. Not super impressed by Kim, besides the absolute bombs he took right on the chin without going down in rd1 vs Polo Reyes, and the fact that he was so close to finishing him, and I rate Polo Reyes way higher than O Reilly.
 

Perra

Active Member
Anyone got any opinions on the girls fight? Know Curran but don't know the other chick.
 

ezflyer

Active Member
Anyone got any opinions on the girls fight? Know Curran but don't know the other chick.

yea, extensive, actually

i'm all over moyle, have her +140, +130, etc - have moyle sub, moyle rd 2/3, moyle nsc

curran is an absolute quitter with terrible sub defense and habits when she gets put into adversity. she shouldn't be in the ufc still, she's just there cause she's pretty.

moyle is a little pitbull. she has actual real takedowns, contrary to most WMMA (like singles, doubles), she throws a solid right hand on the feet and she goes for the back when she's advancing position on the ground. she's also tough as nails.

here's some highlights of her loss to cooper, it was an incredible fight if you didn't see it

 

FFF

Member
Any intel on big/small cage? Historically has been small cage at this venue, but has been ages since they've used it.
 

ezflyer

Active Member
Any intel on big/small cage? Historically has been small cage at this venue, but has been ages since they've used it.

Small cage
 
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