Bellator 231 Mir vs Nelson II

JustBleedFan

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JustBleedFan

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I hit Roy at -180 to win $200. His chin is way better than Frank's at this point and Frank really didn't want this fight.
 

JustBleedFan

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Bec Rawlings is coming back to mixed martial arts competition after a very successful three-fight sojourn into bare knuckle boxing and winning a title along the way. She has a fancy Police Gazette championship belt, but shouldn't be a -245 to -270 favorite to her Brazilian opponent Ilara Joanne in her Bellator MMA debut. Bec has faced some good opponents in her career at strawweight and her current home at flyweight, but her best actual victory if you take aside atomweight Seo Hee Ham would be Lisa Ellis. Seriously, check Tapology, that's her best win. I chose to tape Ilara Joanne's last half a dozen or so fights to see what kind of fighter she is. She hasn't fought any great competition on the regional scene, but she has decent striking, okay takedown ability and pretty good ground & pound. She doesn't give up or slow down during round 3 in fights that are close or back & forth. The two fights she lost in 2017 could easily have went her way from what I saw. Bec supposedly has a three inch height advantage at 5'6" to Ilara 5'3", and she'll probably have pretty sharp hands after a couple of years of mostly boxing training but there's no way you can bet Bec. As a matter of fact I think there's some value on Pitbull Brrothers trained Joanne as a more than 2 to 1 underdog, so I bet her small at +211 hoping it's a scrappy fight where she rises to the occasion and spoils Bec's return to MMA.
 

Will

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Bec Rawlings is coming back to mixed martial arts competition after a very successful three-fight sojourn into bare knuckle boxing and winning a title along the way. She has a fancy Police Gazette championship belt, but shouldn't be a -245 to -270 favorite to her Brazilian opponent Ilara Joanne in her Bellator MMA debut. Bec has faced some good opponents in her career at strawweight and her current home at flyweight, but her best actual victory if you take aside atomweight Seo Hee Ham would be Lisa Ellis. Seriously, check Tapology, that's her best win. I chose to tape Ilara Joanne's last half a dozen or so fights to see what kind of fighter she is. She hasn't fought any great competition on the regional scene, but she has decent striking, okay takedown ability and pretty good ground & pound. She doesn't give up or slow down during round 3 in fights that are close or back & forth. The two fights she lost in 2017 could easily have went her way from what I saw. Bec supposedly has a three inch height advantage at 5'6" to Ilara 5'3", and she'll probably have pretty sharp hands after a couple of years of mostly boxing training but there's no way you can bet Bec. As a matter of fact I think there's some value on Pitbull Brrothers trained Joanne as a more than 2 to 1 underdog, so I bet her small at +211 hoping it's a scrappy fight where she rises to the occasion and spoils Bec's return to MMA.

Good enough for me and i like fading "names" in bellator. A blind tail. small.
 

JustBleedFan

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Captain Eric Albarracin in Ilara Joanne's corner is a confidence increase. That team has been doing nothing but winning.
 

JustBleedFan

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Bellator 231 Risk $1,432.14

Roy Nelson (-175) vs Frank Mir $350.00 for $200.00
Roy Nelson (-179) vs Frank Mir $357.14 for $200.00
Roy Nelson (-180) vs Frank Mir $360.00 for $200.00

Phil Davis/Karl Albrektsson Over 2½ (-230) $115.00 for $50.00
Phil Davis/Karl Albrektsson goes 3 round distance (-185) $92.50 for $50.00

Ed Ruth/Jason Jackson Over 2½ (-115) $57.50 for $50.00

Ilara Joanne (+211) vs Bec Rawlings $100.00 for $211.00
 

JustBleedFan

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Handicapped Ilara Joanne perfectly, only wish I went much bigger with such value on her as an underdog to the very mediocre Bec Rawlings. Smart game plan by Frank Mir with the leg kicks and keeping range. He also was a lot bigger than fat Roy and his chin held up much better than expected. Loss of 8.48 units as a result.

Bellator 231 Results
Risk $1,432.14

Roy Nelson (-175) vs Frank Mir $350.00 for $200.00= $350.00
Roy Nelson (-179) vs Frank Mir $357.14 for $200.00= $357.14
Roy Nelson (-180) vs Frank Mir $360.00 for $200.00= $360.00

Phil Davis/Karl Albrektsson Over 2½ (-230) $115.00 for $50.00= $50.00
Phil Davis/Karl Albrektsson goes 3 round distance (-185) $92.50 for $50.00= $92.50

Ed Ruth/Jason Jackson Over 2½ (-115) $57.50 for $50.00= $50.00

Ilara Joanne (+211) vs Bec Rawlings $100.00 for $211.00= $211.00
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Total Loss= $848.64
 
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