Bellator 229 Koreshkov vs Larkin

JustBleedFan

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JustBleedFan

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I bet Saad Awad at +350. He's always a tough fight for anyone and fought well as high as 170 pounds. Goiti Yamauchi used to fight at featherweight, however he is tall, has filled out in muscularity at 155 pounds recently and is very dangerous himself. But this line is quite wide in my opinion.
 

JustBleedFan

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They couldn't get a microphone working for Michael C. Williams to announce these fighters at the weigh-in, lol?
 

JustBleedFan

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I'm also on The Monsoon as a +150 to +155 underdog in the main event. Andrey Koreshkov is a good and well rounded fighter but Lorenz Larkin has not only fought and beaten much better competition but he has excellent takedown defense. So I think the fight stays on the feet where I believe that Larkin has an advantage striking and is very capable of winning by TKO or by decision. Value is on Larkin imho.
 

JustBleedFan

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I bet Mrs. Giblert, Keri Melendez even at -310 over Mandy Polk. The latter is very muscular and has a decent armbar, but her wrestling is deceptively poor considering her build. She got taken down herself multiple times by lesser opponents, submitted by pre-UFC Mackenzie Dern and even mounted and stopped with ground & pound by the late Katy Collins. I would not be surprised if Keri can keep it on the feet and outstrike Polk, or even outgrapple her by landing on top in takedowns and win by ground stoppage or reverse and get up en route to a decision.
 

JustBleedFan

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I'm seriously considering Joe Schilling as a +140 underdog too despite his below .500 MMA record. His opponent Tony Johnson edged out a decision against Alton Cunningham on episode 2 of this year's Contender Series. He trains with DC and was described as a boxer who hated wrestling according to Bisping on the broadcast. A guy who follows that philosophy and doesn't use wrestling much is the kind of opponent that a kickboxer turned MMA fighter like Joe Schilling can beat. Johnson is a big guy who took that Contender Series opportunity up a weight class at light heavyweight and who didn't look undersized against Cunningham. But he didn't get signed by Dana despite holding off Cunningham's takedown attempts and winning a decision. He did land some good punches that swelled up Cunningham's eye pretty badly when he got space in the clinch. But also got hit with some punches, elbows and knees in the clinch as well, something that Stitch 'em Up could use to good effect. The former muay thai beltholder and Glory tournament champion Schilling has been training with Cowboy Cerrone and committed to MMA over his last two bouts in Bellator. If he doesn't get outwrestled I can see him having a good chance of puling off the upset.
 

JustBleedFan

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Bellator 229 Risk $2,387.50

Lorenz Larkin (+155) vs Andrey Koreshkov $100.00 for $155.00
Lorenz Larkin (+150) vs Andrey Koreshkov $100.00 for $150.00
Lorenz Larkin +3½ points (-175) $87.50 for $50.00

Saad Awad (+350) vs Goiti Yamauchi $100.00 for $350.00
Saad Awad scorecards = no action (+500) $40.00 for $200.00

Keri Melendez (-310) vs Mandy Polk $310.00 for $100.00
Keri Melendez (-310) vs Mandy Polk $310.00 for $100.00
Keri Melendez (-310) vs Mandy Polk $310.00 for $100.00
Keri Melendez -3½ points (+140) $50.00 for $70.00
Keri Melendez wins inside distance (+250) $75.00 for $187.50
Keri Melendez /Mandy Polk Under 2½ (+185) $100.00 for $185.00
Keri Melendez /Mandy Polk Under 2½ (+190) $100.0 for $185.00

Joe Schilling (+140) vs Tony Johnson $100.00 for $140.00
Joe Schilling (+140) vs Tony Johnson $100.00 for $100.00

Adel Altamimi (-105) vs Salim Mukhidinov $105.00 for $100.00

Parlay:
Anatoly Tokov (-550) vs Hracho Darpinyan + Derek Anderson (-325) vs Guilherme Bomba $200.00 for $109.09
Anatoly Tokov (-650) vs Hracho Darpinyan + Keri Melendez (-325) vs Mandy Polk $200.00 for $101.78
 

JustBleedFan

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Hos melendez on the ground, i struggle finding tape of her fights in general? Looks like a great striker, but hard to place a bet without seing her ground game...
Not too much footage of Melendez on the ground, but watch Polk get ground & pounded by the late Katy Collins. Polk is physically strong against female tomato cans and has a decent armbar but that's it.
 

JustBleedFan

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Entertaining non-tentpole Bellator card. Joe Schilling looked like he was going to win round 3 and get the decision until he got brutally one-punch KOed again. Keri Melendez should have finished her opponent on the feet or the ground. The scorecards in the main event were controversial, but Lorenz Larkin should have had a 10-8 round two in my opinion anyway, so I was happy to see him get the decision even if the 10-9 must system may have led to a draw otherwise. Modest 2.15 units profit.

Bellator 229
Results Risk $2,387.50

Lorenz Larkin (+155) vs Andrey Koreshkov $100.00 for $155.00= $155.00
Lorenz Larkin (+150) vs Andrey Koreshkov $100.00 for $150.00= $150.00
Lorenz Larkin +3½ points (-175) $87.50 for $50.00= $50.00

Saad Awad (+350) vs Goiti Yamauchi $100.00 for $350.00= -$100.00
Saad Awad scorecards = no action (+500) $40.00 for $200.00= -$40.00

Keri Melendez (-310) vs Mandy Polk $310.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Keri Melendez (-310) vs Mandy Polk $310.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Keri Melendez (-310) vs Mandy Polk $310.00 for $100.00= $100.00
Keri Melendez -3½ points (+140) $50.00 for $70.00= $70.00
Keri Melendez wins inside distance (+250) $75.00 for $187.50= -$75.00
Keri Melendez /Mandy Polk Under 2½ (+185) $100.00 for $185.00= -$100.00
Keri Melendez /Mandy Polk Under 2½ (+190) $100.00 for $190.00= -$100.00

Joe Schilling (+140) vs Tony Johnson $100.00 for $140.00= -$100.00
Joe Schilling (+140) vs Tony Johnson $100.00 for $100.00= -$100.00

Adel Altamimi (-105) vs Salim Mukhidinov $105.00 for $100.00= -$105.00

Parlay:
Anatoly Tokov (-550) vs Hracho Darpinyan + Derek Anderson (-325) vs Guilherme Bomba $200.00 for $109.09= $109.09
Anatoly Tokov (-650) vs Hracho Darpinyan + Keri Melendez (-325) vs Mandy Polk $200.00 for $101.78= $101.78
-----

Total Profit= $215.87
 
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