UFC 221 - Rockhold vs Romero - Australia
- Thread starter ezflyer
- Start date
Looking forward to next week at UFC 221, I'm surprised that the over is set so low at 1½ in the interim MW title fight between Yoel Romero and Luke Rockhold, so I really like it at -160. I don't see either one of these guys finishing each other that quickly and I would not be surprised to see this go the distance like Romero vs Whittaker did. My bet is 3.2 units to win 2 units.
Beelzebubzy
Active Member
Is this the weakest PPv card or is the next one
UFC 222 lost Holloway vs Edgar so for now that one is the weakest. But I'm an addict who is watching every fight on every card anyway, so it doesn't really matter to me.
Also like Li Jingliang at -185 over Jake Matthews. Jingliang is a hard puncher, excellent grinder and a good size welterweight while Matthews is a former lightweight who has looked good against the right opponents, especially where he had a ground advantage. Maxed a small opener on Jingliag ML risking 2.5 units to win 1.35 units.
Sky
Member
i like the mathews here. not coz i think hes better. but at underdog odds he got enough fight in him to atleast keep it competitive enough on home soil to get 2/3 judges behind him. velickovic knows what i mean
Rockhold bonus is all around pretty fucked up, but yeah he's knees always been terrible
One of the more interesting prelim bouts on the card will be the UFC debut of top 185 pound kickboxer and former Glory middleweight contender tournament winner Israel Adesanya against Australian grappler Rob Wilkinson. Israel's amassed an 11-0 record in MMA fighting in Australia & China and stopping the likes of Melvin Guillard, but he's not getting a style friendly matchup here. Siyar Bahadurzada was able to stuff Wilkinson's takedown attempts and finally knock him out on the feet in Wilkinson's octagon debut, but I think there's a real question about how good Adesanya's takedown defense is and if Rob can get him to the ground to work his ground & pound or get a submission or if Adesanya's flashy striking will knock him out in highlight reel fashion. I will have to consider either side at decent + money here or fight does not go distance with the style vs style matchup and likely outcomes.
ezflyer
Active Member
Patience, young Padawan
One major wrinkle for UFC 221, there will be no early weigh-in and no IV re-hydration allowed- see article below. Official weigh-ins take place at 9:30 PM EST Friday evening and the Fight Pass prelims start at 6:30 PM EST on Saturday, which means that some fighters will have as little as 21 hours from weigh-ins to walking to the octagon, and this after a potentially long flight to Australia. For me, I think this means potentially a lot of fighters' bodies and brains being not fully hydrated and cushioned like usual and possibly more knockouts for the card. I may look to play a lot of unders or does not go distance props and fights does not go distance event props..
https://www.tsn.ca/canadian-kennedy-adapting-to-abnormal-ufc-221-weigh-in-regulations-1.988618
https://www.tsn.ca/canadian-kennedy-adapting-to-abnormal-ufc-221-weigh-in-regulations-1.988618
Fading Ross Pearson who has only won one fight out of his last six and is coming back from a brutal knockout. 1u on Mizuto Hirota at +145. This is probably going to a decision and I think that Hirota can mix in some takedowns and get the nod.
ezflyer
Active Member
Short Notice:
- Yoel Romero (in for Robert Whittaker) vs. Luke Rockhold [3 weeks] - Romero was supposed to fight Branch 2 weeks later
- Jake Matthews vs. Li Jingliang [announced 4 weeks ago]
- Rob Wilkinson vs. Israel Adesanya [announced 5 weeks ago]
- Luke Jumeau vs. Daichi Abe [announced 4 weeks ago]
Ring Rust:
- Saparbek Safarov 428 days
Returning from TKO loss:
- Rob Wilkinson TKOed by Bahadurzada in Sept
- Ross Pearson TKOed by Hooker in June
- Yoel Romero (in for Robert Whittaker) vs. Luke Rockhold [3 weeks] - Romero was supposed to fight Branch 2 weeks later
- Jake Matthews vs. Li Jingliang [announced 4 weeks ago]
- Rob Wilkinson vs. Israel Adesanya [announced 5 weeks ago]
- Luke Jumeau vs. Daichi Abe [announced 4 weeks ago]
Ring Rust:
- Saparbek Safarov 428 days
Returning from TKO loss:
- Rob Wilkinson TKOed by Bahadurzada in Sept
- Ross Pearson TKOed by Hooker in June
So looks like joey beluga @ sportsbook originated the bottom portion of the card and other books copied.
Is anyone going to open totals lol
Is anyone going to open totals lol