ezflyer
Active Member
i don't think it's that good. but he's usually excelled at getting back to his feet.
the last time he fought a wrestler, he couldn't do that... (kennedy)... could that be a sign of things to come? perhaps...
your official ufc 186 bets
- Thread starter ezflyer
- Start date
i don't think it's that good. but he's usually excelled at getting back to his feet.
the last time he fought a wrestler, he couldn't do that... (kennedy)... could that be a sign of things to come? perhaps...
ezflyer
Active Member
CB used to look like that.. and he kinda has lately.. a couple years ago he was shredded as hell...
me thinks something changed for him before and after that...
PSUMike
Active Member
From my perspective, Bisping has a serviceable sprawl. He is also quite good in the clinch. He gets underhooks and defends well when you put him against the cage. But, when you shoot from the open away from the cage, he is much more prone to be put on his back. And like EZ said, he has very good hips, shrimps well, and can create space to scramble and get up. One thing I want to do before I commit more either way is to watch some of CB's wrestle-centric fights to see where he gets most of his TDs from.
ezflyer
Active Member
hate this card. not done, but it's gonna be smallest ufc pre-event action in a while.
prolly should've done less on campbell decision, but it's still a small bet, no biggie.
might do DJ sub. or might do horiguchi ML on fight night. might do jabouin on fight night. might do something on michaud, maybe.
prolly should've done less on campbell decision, but it's still a small bet, no biggie.
might do DJ sub. or might do horiguchi ML on fight night. might do jabouin on fight night. might do something on michaud, maybe.
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opinionator
Member
1st post ... be gentle.
JACKSON by KO round 1 1u @ 4.5
JACKSON by KO 1u @ 2.8
BISPING 2u @ 1.55
COTE 2u @ 1.47
davis/kaufman over2.5 1u @ 2.56
annd as a poker player i feel like i have decent chance of more than one of these dogs hitting ... too much dog exposure ??:
RAKOCZY 1u @ 2.56
DAVIS 1u @ 2.66
BARBARENA 1u @ 3.7
CAMPBELL 1u @ 2.46
JACKSON by KO round 1 1u @ 4.5
JACKSON by KO 1u @ 2.8
BISPING 2u @ 1.55
COTE 2u @ 1.47
davis/kaufman over2.5 1u @ 2.56
annd as a poker player i feel like i have decent chance of more than one of these dogs hitting ... too much dog exposure ??:
RAKOCZY 1u @ 2.56
DAVIS 1u @ 2.66
BARBARENA 1u @ 3.7
CAMPBELL 1u @ 2.46
I like your dog picks there. Thinking about throwing a handfuld of darts at some of those well.
Jackson KO i'd be less optimistic about, and that's quite a bit you have on that.
Good to see some new blood around.
Jackson KO i'd be less optimistic about, and that's quite a bit you have on that.
Good to see some new blood around.
opinionator
Member
cheers matey. yeah i guess that's my urge to gamble playing up ... don't know enough about anyone (or anything) else to see any good prop bets. if he lets me down hopefully it will teach me the discipline to not bet when there's no play.
Vaughany
Active Member
Those dogs are same as what I'll probably be playing (except Campbell because I'm a Makdessi hoghugger and will probably just stay away from that fight!)
ezflyer
Active Member
UFC 186 Risk: 1,069
DJ-Horiguchi U4.5: 60 parlays
Rampage DEC: 50 for 75 / Maldonado
Dollaway +130: 100 for 130 - 21 parlays / Dollaway DEC: 100 for 255 / Bisping
Campbell: 21 parlays / Campbell DEC: 50 for 213.50 / O2.5: 60 parlays / Makdessi
Jabouin-Almeida: idk
Cote -180: 99 for 55 - 110 parlays / Riggs
Davis +170: 150 for 255.50 - 21 parlays / Davis SUB: 15 for 157.50 / Davis DEC: 35 for 100.45 / Kaufman
Barberena-Laprise: idk
Mchaud-AubinMercier: idk
Taleb DEC: 50 for 95.50 / O1.5: 60 parlays / Clements
Rakoczy +158: 150 for 237.50 - 21 parlays / Rakoczy ITD: 25 for 106 / Rakoczy SUB: 10 for 137.50 / Letourneau
Daly +190: 50 for 95 / Markos
props
parlays
50 for 56.06 Cote -180 & Jones -275 (ufc 187)
100 RR for 285.84: campbell-makdessi O2.5 -145, Cote -200, clements-taleb O1.5 -200, kankaanpaa -175 (invicta 12), bell -171 (invicta 12)
35 RR for 455.45: rakoczy/ davis/ campbell/ dollaway/ DJ-KH U4.5/ pa'aluhi(invicta 12)/ modaferri(invicta 12)
---
not gonna go much bigger, pre-event. (not done, tho). not a great card. we'll see how it pans out. hope live betting is back to normal tomorrow. if it's not, i might have to improvise a few strats on the fly.
DJ-Horiguchi U4.5: 60 parlays
Rampage DEC: 50 for 75 / Maldonado
Dollaway +130: 100 for 130 - 21 parlays / Dollaway DEC: 100 for 255 / Bisping
Campbell: 21 parlays / Campbell DEC: 50 for 213.50 / O2.5: 60 parlays / Makdessi
Jabouin-Almeida: idk
Cote -180: 99 for 55 - 110 parlays / Riggs
Davis +170: 150 for 255.50 - 21 parlays / Davis SUB: 15 for 157.50 / Davis DEC: 35 for 100.45 / Kaufman
Barberena-Laprise: idk
Mchaud-AubinMercier: idk
Taleb DEC: 50 for 95.50 / O1.5: 60 parlays / Clements
Rakoczy +158: 150 for 237.50 - 21 parlays / Rakoczy ITD: 25 for 106 / Rakoczy SUB: 10 for 137.50 / Letourneau
Daly +190: 50 for 95 / Markos
props
parlays
50 for 56.06 Cote -180 & Jones -275 (ufc 187)
100 RR for 285.84: campbell-makdessi O2.5 -145, Cote -200, clements-taleb O1.5 -200, kankaanpaa -175 (invicta 12), bell -171 (invicta 12)
35 RR for 455.45: rakoczy/ davis/ campbell/ dollaway/ DJ-KH U4.5/ pa'aluhi(invicta 12)/ modaferri(invicta 12)
---
not gonna go much bigger, pre-event. (not done, tho). not a great card. we'll see how it pans out. hope live betting is back to normal tomorrow. if it's not, i might have to improvise a few strats on the fly.
I usually only put $10 on a FOTN prop and pick a fight with a bigger payoff. But this time I see the main event being a whirlwind of a fight with two super fast fighters that goes at least three or four rounds.
Johnson/Horiguchi FOTN award winner (+275) $20.00 for $55.00
Johnson/Horiguchi FOTN award winner (+275) $20.00 for $55.00
ezflyer
Active Member
i guess that's the best one.
campbell-makdessi and jabouin-almeida are alternatives, tho i'm not sure if they pay enough.
i went with kaufman-davis +900. 22.22 for 199.98.
their last fight was like best fight in wmma history. so yea. why not.
bum
Active Member
On Laprise big at -300.
Might go with Valerie now that it's down to -140
I waited too long and I still want to bet Campbell at +120 but I might wait and see where the line goes
Mercier at -390 is getting silly and will continue to climb. I have him in a parlay I think -350? I still think he's overvalued, pretty square parlay with laprise Almeida and mercier.
No clue what to do with page/mald..
Mighty Mouse sub +250, wish I got it sooner I wouldn't mind free rolling there. I'm actually going to bet horiguchi, I think this is MM stiffest competition to date. Even more so than Benevidas
Might go with Valerie now that it's down to -140
I waited too long and I still want to bet Campbell at +120 but I might wait and see where the line goes
Mercier at -390 is getting silly and will continue to climb. I have him in a parlay I think -350? I still think he's overvalued, pretty square parlay with laprise Almeida and mercier.
No clue what to do with page/mald..
Mighty Mouse sub +250, wish I got it sooner I wouldn't mind free rolling there. I'm actually going to bet horiguchi, I think this is MM stiffest competition to date. Even more so than Benevidas
Vaughany
Active Member
Playz for shits and giggles!:
To win 1 unit on Taleb/Clements Over 1.5 Rnds @ -200;
To win 1 unit on Bisping/Dolloway Distance @ -200;
To win 1 unit on Almeida/Jabouin Over 1.5 Rnds @ -140;
1 unit staked on Mighty Mouse by Submission @ +300;
1 unit staked on Rakoczy @ +155;
1 unit staked on Barbarena @ +345;
1 unit staked on Michaud @ +300;
0.5 units staked on Davis by Decision @ +300.
Zahabi's guys will probably clean up but fuuuck it!
To win 1 unit on Taleb/Clements Over 1.5 Rnds @ -200;
To win 1 unit on Bisping/Dolloway Distance @ -200;
To win 1 unit on Almeida/Jabouin Over 1.5 Rnds @ -140;
1 unit staked on Mighty Mouse by Submission @ +300;
1 unit staked on Rakoczy @ +155;
1 unit staked on Barbarena @ +345;
1 unit staked on Michaud @ +300;
0.5 units staked on Davis by Decision @ +300.
Zahabi's guys will probably clean up but fuuuck it!
ezflyer
Active Member
UFC 186 Risk: 1,538.28
DJ-Horiguchi U4.5: 57.50 for 50 - 60 parlays
Rampage: 206 parlays / Rampage DEC: 50 for 75 / Maldonado
Dollaway +130: 100 for 130 - 21 parlays / Dollaway DEC: 100 for 255 / Bisping
Campbell: 21 parlays / Campbell DEC: 50 for 213.50 / O2.5: 60 parlays / Makdessi
Jabouin-Almeida: idk
Cote -180: 99 for 55 - 160 parlays / Riggs
Davis +170: 150 for 255.50 - 21 parlays / Davis SUB: 15 for 157.50 / Davis DEC: 35 for 100.45 / Kaufman / FOTN: 22.22 for 199.98
Barberena-Laprise: idk
Mchaud-AubinMercier: O2.5: 66 parlays
Taleb: 66 parlays / Taleb DEC: 50 for 95.50 / O1.5: 60 parlays / Clements
Rakoczy +158: 150 for 237.50 - 21 parlays / Rakoczy ITD: 25 for 106 / Rakoczy SUB: 10 for 137.50 / Letourneau
Daly +190: 50 for 95 / Markos
props
DEC O6.5: 66.56 for 64
DEC O7.5: 20 for 50.20
DEC O8.5: 9 for 57.69
DEC O9.5: 5 for 102.15
parlays
50 for 56.06 Cote -180 & Jones -275 (ufc 187)
100 RR for 285.84: campbell-makdessi O2.5 -145, Cote -200, clements-taleb O1.5 -200, kankaanpaa -175 (invicta 12), bell -171 (invicta 12)
35 RR for 455.45: rakoczy/ davis/ campbell/ dollaway/ DJ-KH U4.5/ pa'aluhi(invicta 12)/ modaferri(invicta 12)
33 for 44 rampage -250 & michaud-aubin O2.5 -150
33 for 32.06 rampage -250 & taleb -245
33 for 44.45 michaud-aubin O2.5 -150 & taleb -245
50 for 58.33 cote -225 & clements-taleb O1.5 -200
100 for 106.29 rampage -195 & jones -275 (ufc 187)
---
kinda hate my bets, lol.
man i hope live betting is functional tonight.
DJ-Horiguchi U4.5: 57.50 for 50 - 60 parlays
Rampage: 206 parlays / Rampage DEC: 50 for 75 / Maldonado
Dollaway +130: 100 for 130 - 21 parlays / Dollaway DEC: 100 for 255 / Bisping
Campbell: 21 parlays / Campbell DEC: 50 for 213.50 / O2.5: 60 parlays / Makdessi
Jabouin-Almeida: idk
Cote -180: 99 for 55 - 160 parlays / Riggs
Davis +170: 150 for 255.50 - 21 parlays / Davis SUB: 15 for 157.50 / Davis DEC: 35 for 100.45 / Kaufman / FOTN: 22.22 for 199.98
Barberena-Laprise: idk
Mchaud-AubinMercier: O2.5: 66 parlays
Taleb: 66 parlays / Taleb DEC: 50 for 95.50 / O1.5: 60 parlays / Clements
Rakoczy +158: 150 for 237.50 - 21 parlays / Rakoczy ITD: 25 for 106 / Rakoczy SUB: 10 for 137.50 / Letourneau
Daly +190: 50 for 95 / Markos
props
DEC O6.5: 66.56 for 64
DEC O7.5: 20 for 50.20
DEC O8.5: 9 for 57.69
DEC O9.5: 5 for 102.15
parlays
50 for 56.06 Cote -180 & Jones -275 (ufc 187)
100 RR for 285.84: campbell-makdessi O2.5 -145, Cote -200, clements-taleb O1.5 -200, kankaanpaa -175 (invicta 12), bell -171 (invicta 12)
35 RR for 455.45: rakoczy/ davis/ campbell/ dollaway/ DJ-KH U4.5/ pa'aluhi(invicta 12)/ modaferri(invicta 12)
33 for 44 rampage -250 & michaud-aubin O2.5 -150
33 for 32.06 rampage -250 & taleb -245
33 for 44.45 michaud-aubin O2.5 -150 & taleb -245
50 for 58.33 cote -225 & clements-taleb O1.5 -200
100 for 106.29 rampage -195 & jones -275 (ufc 187)
---
kinda hate my bets, lol.
man i hope live betting is functional tonight.
UFC 186 Risk $1429.40
Demetrious Johnson wins by submission (+250) vs Kyoji Horiguchi $30.00 for $75.00
Demetrious Johnson wins in round 4 (+1100) $10.00 for $110.00
Demetrious Johnson wins in round 5 (+1500) $10.00 for$150.00
Quinton Jackson wins in round 1 (+400) vs Fabio Maldonado $10.00 for $40.00
Quinton Jackson wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+175/+200) $120.00 for $225.00
Quinton Jackson wins by 3 round decision (+150) $80.00 for $120.00
Michael Bisping (-146) vs CB Dolloway $292.00 for $200.00
Michael Bisping wins by TKO/KO (+400) $25.00 for $100.00
Michael Bisping wins in round 3 (+1500) $10.00 for $150.00
Shane Campbell (+105) vs John Makdessi $40.00 for $42.00
Shane Campbell/John Makdessi won't go distance (+100) $30.00 for $30.00
Thomas Almeida wins in round 2 (+400) vs Yves Jabouin $10.00 for $40.00
Patrick Cote (-180) vs Joe Riggs $180.00 for $100.00
Sarah Kaufman (-200) vs Alexis Davis $150.00 for $75.00
Alexis Davis wins by 3 round decision (+287) $25.00 for $71.75
Chad Laprise wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+450) vs Bryan Barberena $10.00 for $45.00
Olivier Aubin-Mercier wins by submission (+265) vs David Michaud $20.00 for $53.00
Chris Clements (+205) vs Nordine Taleb $25.00 for $51.25
Valerie Letourneau (-110) vs Jessica Rakoczy $110.00 for $100.00
Valerie Letourneau wins by submission (+616) $15.00 for $92.40
Aisling Daly (+245) vs Randa Markos $40.00 for $98.00
Aisling Daly wins inside distance (+750) $25.00 for $187.50
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 3½ (-106) $42.40 for $40.00
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 4½ (+266) $20.00 for $53.20
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 5½ (+715) $10.00 for $71.50
Olivier Aubin-Mercier wins Fastest SUB (+500) $10.00 for $50.00
Patrick Cote wins Fastest KO (+950) $10.00 for $95.00
Johnson/Horiguchi FOTN award winner (+275) $20.00 for $55.00
Parlay:
Olivier Aubin-Mercier (-330) + Chad Laprise (-400) + Thomas Almeida (-430) + Quinton Jacskon (-230) + Michael Bisping (-148) + Demetrious Johnson (-900) $50.00 for $218.15
Demetrious Johnson wins by submission (+250) vs Kyoji Horiguchi $30.00 for $75.00
Demetrious Johnson wins in round 4 (+1100) $10.00 for $110.00
Demetrious Johnson wins in round 5 (+1500) $10.00 for$150.00
Quinton Jackson wins in round 1 (+400) vs Fabio Maldonado $10.00 for $40.00
Quinton Jackson wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+175/+200) $120.00 for $225.00
Quinton Jackson wins by 3 round decision (+150) $80.00 for $120.00
Michael Bisping (-146) vs CB Dolloway $292.00 for $200.00
Michael Bisping wins by TKO/KO (+400) $25.00 for $100.00
Michael Bisping wins in round 3 (+1500) $10.00 for $150.00
Shane Campbell (+105) vs John Makdessi $40.00 for $42.00
Shane Campbell/John Makdessi won't go distance (+100) $30.00 for $30.00
Thomas Almeida wins in round 2 (+400) vs Yves Jabouin $10.00 for $40.00
Patrick Cote (-180) vs Joe Riggs $180.00 for $100.00
Sarah Kaufman (-200) vs Alexis Davis $150.00 for $75.00
Alexis Davis wins by 3 round decision (+287) $25.00 for $71.75
Chad Laprise wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+450) vs Bryan Barberena $10.00 for $45.00
Olivier Aubin-Mercier wins by submission (+265) vs David Michaud $20.00 for $53.00
Chris Clements (+205) vs Nordine Taleb $25.00 for $51.25
Valerie Letourneau (-110) vs Jessica Rakoczy $110.00 for $100.00
Valerie Letourneau wins by submission (+616) $15.00 for $92.40
Aisling Daly (+245) vs Randa Markos $40.00 for $98.00
Aisling Daly wins inside distance (+750) $25.00 for $187.50
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 3½ (-106) $42.40 for $40.00
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 4½ (+266) $20.00 for $53.20
Fights to end in KO/TKO over 5½ (+715) $10.00 for $71.50
Olivier Aubin-Mercier wins Fastest SUB (+500) $10.00 for $50.00
Patrick Cote wins Fastest KO (+950) $10.00 for $95.00
Johnson/Horiguchi FOTN award winner (+275) $20.00 for $55.00
Parlay:
Olivier Aubin-Mercier (-330) + Chad Laprise (-400) + Thomas Almeida (-430) + Quinton Jacskon (-230) + Michael Bisping (-148) + Demetrious Johnson (-900) $50.00 for $218.15
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ezflyer
Active Member
UFC 186 Net: +286.33
Horiguchi +556: 20 for 111.20 / Horiguchi +9.5: 10 for 83.90 / U4.5: 57.50 for 50 - 60 parlays / DEC: 55 for 31.25
Rampage -120: 120 for 100 - 206 parlays / Rampage DEC: 50 for 75 / Maldonado +1.5: 40 for 114.80
Dollaway: 0 for 30 - 21 parlays / Dollaway DEC: 100 for 255 / Dollaway +1.5: 20 for 45.20 / Bisping: 0 for 48
Campbell: 21 parlays / Campbell DEC: 50 for 213.50 / O2.5: 72.50 for 50 - 60 parlays
Jabouin +3.5: 50 for 95
Cote: 0 for 30 - 160 parlays / Cote -3.5: 100 for 80 / Riggs: 0 for 1 / Riggs +1.5: 10 for 48.80
Davis +240: 190 for 455.50 - 21 parlays / Davis SUB: 15 for 157.50 / Davis -3.5: 200 for 259 / Davis DEC: 35 for 100.45 / FOTN: 22.22 for 199.98
Barberena +556: 20 for 111.20 / Barberena +3.5: 20 for 137.80 / Barberena +1.5: 10 for 16.20
Michaud-AubinMercier: O2.5: 66 parlays
Taleb: 66 parlays / Taleb DEC: 50 for 95.50 / O1.5: 110 parlays
Rakoczy +158: 150 for 237.50 - 21 parlays / Rakoczy ITD: 25 for 106 / Rakoczy SUB: 10 for 137.50
Daly +190: 50 for 95
props
DEC O6.5: 66.56 for 64
DEC O7.5: 20 for 50.20
DEC O8.5: 9 for 57.69
DEC O9.5: 5 for 102.15
parlays
50 for 56.06 Cote -180 & Jones -275 (ufc 187)
100 RR for 285.84: campbell-makdessi O2.5 -145, Cote -200, clements-taleb O1.5 -200, kankaanpaa -175 (invicta 12), bell -171 (invicta 12)
35 RR for 455.45: rakoczy/ davis/ campbell/ dollaway/ DJ-KH U4.5/ pa'aluhi(invicta 12)/ modaferri(invicta 12)
33 for 44 rampage -250 & michaud-aubin O2.5 -150
33 for 32.06 rampage -250 & taleb -245
33 for 44.45 michaud-aubin O2.5 -150 & taleb -245
50 for 58.33 cote -225 & clements-taleb O1.5 -200
40 for 44.44 rampage -280 & kankaanpaa -180 (invicta 12)
100 for 106.29 rampage -195 & jones -275 (ufc 187)
---
all in all, whatever. enduring some tough judges scores the past few weeks. happens. no major complaints, tho, but the barberena +3.5 should've f'ing hit, in particular. /sigh.
and yea, got f'd out of a couple hundy by the last second tap by horiguchi, but sigh, what're ya gonna do.
could be a lot worse.
Horiguchi +556: 20 for 111.20 / Horiguchi +9.5: 10 for 83.90 / U4.5: 57.50 for 50 - 60 parlays / DEC: 55 for 31.25
Rampage -120: 120 for 100 - 206 parlays / Rampage DEC: 50 for 75 / Maldonado +1.5: 40 for 114.80
Dollaway: 0 for 30 - 21 parlays / Dollaway DEC: 100 for 255 / Dollaway +1.5: 20 for 45.20 / Bisping: 0 for 48
Campbell: 21 parlays / Campbell DEC: 50 for 213.50 / O2.5: 72.50 for 50 - 60 parlays
Jabouin +3.5: 50 for 95
Cote: 0 for 30 - 160 parlays / Cote -3.5: 100 for 80 / Riggs: 0 for 1 / Riggs +1.5: 10 for 48.80
Davis +240: 190 for 455.50 - 21 parlays / Davis SUB: 15 for 157.50 / Davis -3.5: 200 for 259 / Davis DEC: 35 for 100.45 / FOTN: 22.22 for 199.98
Barberena +556: 20 for 111.20 / Barberena +3.5: 20 for 137.80 / Barberena +1.5: 10 for 16.20
Michaud-AubinMercier: O2.5: 66 parlays
Taleb: 66 parlays / Taleb DEC: 50 for 95.50 / O1.5: 110 parlays
Rakoczy +158: 150 for 237.50 - 21 parlays / Rakoczy ITD: 25 for 106 / Rakoczy SUB: 10 for 137.50
Daly +190: 50 for 95
props
DEC O6.5: 66.56 for 64
DEC O7.5: 20 for 50.20
DEC O8.5: 9 for 57.69
DEC O9.5: 5 for 102.15
parlays
50 for 56.06 Cote -180 & Jones -275 (ufc 187)
100 RR for 285.84: campbell-makdessi O2.5 -145, Cote -200, clements-taleb O1.5 -200, kankaanpaa -175 (invicta 12), bell -171 (invicta 12)
35 RR for 455.45: rakoczy/ davis/ campbell/ dollaway/ DJ-KH U4.5/ pa'aluhi(invicta 12)/ modaferri(invicta 12)
33 for 44 rampage -250 & michaud-aubin O2.5 -150
33 for 32.06 rampage -250 & taleb -245
33 for 44.45 michaud-aubin O2.5 -150 & taleb -245
50 for 58.33 cote -225 & clements-taleb O1.5 -200
40 for 44.44 rampage -280 & kankaanpaa -180 (invicta 12)
100 for 106.29 rampage -195 & jones -275 (ufc 187)
---
all in all, whatever. enduring some tough judges scores the past few weeks. happens. no major complaints, tho, but the barberena +3.5 should've f'ing hit, in particular. /sigh.
and yea, got f'd out of a couple hundy by the last second tap by horiguchi, but sigh, what're ya gonna do.
could be a lot worse.