wsof 25 - lightweight tourney

Discussion in 'Gambling and Betting Forum' started by ezflyer, Nov 15, 2015.

Added to Calendar: 11-20-15
  1. ezflyer

    ezflyer Active Member

    man, idk. zeferino looked durable in the ufc, but foster is a reckless dude. and you gotta think foster is going to come out blasting, due to tourney format.
     
  2. Sky

    Sky Member

    yea you would think so. was thinking if zeferino wants a sub win in two rounds he shudnt be wasting much time trying to get to it either.
     
  3. ezflyer

    ezflyer Active Member

    man, i have next to nothing pending for wsof. idk wth to do.

    i have 0.55u on palomino-patishnock U1.5 -110 and 0.69u O1.5 patino-mamedov -138.

    i can't pull trigger on other fights. ricci should win easily but price obviously sucks. condon kinda durable but missed weight. /shrug.

    zeferino MIGHT have value.. or O1.5 MIGHT have value... but man, foster might come out guns blazing. kinda think he will, in fact.

    payan-high? ugh, no clue. high wins, but idk how.

    kinda considering mustapayev, over 2:1 vs burley, but it'll be 0.5u max if i even do it.
     
  4. Sky

    Sky Member

    ended up on high/payan u2.5 at +150 and thats all i got for wsof. maybe ill throw down a small parlay just to get my fix on
     
    BT likes this.
  5. ezflyer

    ezflyer Active Member

    you think high hits that chin then finishes him? sub or tko etc after touching that crappy payan chin?
     
  6. BT

    BT Active Member

    Same here. I know Payan's never been subbed but still think High can snatch a guillotine or maybe get a ko at some point, but not super confident.
     
  7. JimGunn

    JimGunn Active Member

    WSOF 25 Risk $300.00

    Parlays:
    Islam Mamadev (-550) + Mike Ricci (-1200) + Brian Foster (-245) + Luis Palomino (-360) $100.00 for $130.37
    Round Robin: $20 each x 10 two-team parlays on all five tourney & reserve bout under 1½'s $200.00 for $519.53
     
  8. ezflyer

    ezflyer Active Member

    haha, ineresting plays

    threw 0.25u on mustapayev +205, rarrrr
     
  9. ezflyer

    ezflyer Active Member

    haha

    high-payan

    "does not go 3 rounds" is +110

    U2.5 is +103
     
  10. ezflyer

    ezflyer Active Member

    WSOF25 WSOF - Lightweight Tournament
    Fri 11/20 9:00PM
    Odds to win the WSOF 25 8-Man Lightweight Tournament
    Islam Mamedov
    +200
    Brian Foster
    +225
    Mike Ricci
    +225
    Luis Palomino
    +700
    Joao Zeferino
    +700
    LaRue Burley
    +925
    Richard Patishnock
    +1200
    Jorge Patino
    +1200
    Ramil Mustapayev
    +1500
    Joe Condon
    +2000

    ---

    5d -> bet the board -> futures

    the 3 favorites are all very low payout... tho it really should be one of those 3 guys...

    palomino, maybe? considering those payouts?
     
  11. ezflyer

    ezflyer Active Member

    anyone know if there's a bracket?

    like, if all 4 favorites win, what are the two semifinal matchups?
     
  12. ezflyer

    ezflyer Active Member

    if the weigh-in order is indicative, it would be mamedov vs ricci, foster vs palomino

    so IF foster beats zeferino, he and palomino are gonna bruise eachother up hard... whereas mamedov vs ricci should be much more of a technical fight and maybe grappling

    make of that what you will

    that's IF the fight order dictates things, which it should
     
  13. ezflyer

    ezflyer Active Member

    IF i'm right on those matchups, i feel palomino is the only bettable line, honestly. +200ish for mamedov, foster, and ricci isn't worth it.

    mamedov likely going to have two long fights. patino and ricci. palomino prolly wins first fight quickly and then IF he beats foster, it's prolly quick (or vice versa for foster) -- difference being that palo pays 3.5x more.

    small bet on palomino +700
     
  14. ezflyer

    ezflyer Active Member

    oh god, i just talked myself into 0.2u payan +590 and 0.625u O2.5 -125

    i just can't get past that payan has never been subbed, high doesn't have much power.
     
  15. BT

    BT Active Member

    stabbed at Palomino, only got +575, though. Still like your line of thinking, so followed.
     
  16. ezflyer

    ezflyer Active Member

    mustapayev is whooping burley right now, rd 1 over, 10-9 mustapayev, and both guys threw down HARD
     
  17. ezflyer

    ezflyer Active Member

    we prolly gonna lose, but was only reasonable line, IMO
     
  18. ezflyer

    ezflyer Active Member

    color me impressed by mustapayev. burley's conditioning was pretty shitty, tho.. i guess he figured reserve bout wouldn't get in the tourney, anyway, but he should've, cause it happens all the time in tournaments

    mustapayev is freakin legit, if he gets a shot to replace someone later
     
  19. ezflyer

    ezflyer Active Member

    wtf? this going 3 rounds? i thought it was 2 only for the prelim bouts?

    i don't think burley lasts another 5 mins

    20-17 mustapayev
     
  20. ezflyer

    ezflyer Active Member

    30-26 mustapayev (prolly 30-27)

    btw, meant to mention earlier: no elbows till finals, could hurt ricci, that's one of his weapons
     

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