UFN 158 on ESPN+ 16 Cowboy vs Gaethje

Discussion in 'Gambling and Betting Forum' started by JimGunn, Aug 22, 2019.

Added to Calendar: 09-15-19
  1. JimGunn

    JimGunn Active Member

  2. punisherind

    punisherind Moderator Foundation Member

    Gaethje vs cowboy and not a single comment in the thread! Had to rectify this situation.

    I have no strong lean on this fight but i need some action (as if the fight isnt going to be exciting enough lol).

    What is everyone thinking? Where u at @Vaughany ? @Mirinquads ?
     
  3. punisherind

    punisherind Moderator Foundation Member

    I got 1.5u plays on glubber, shoeface, cirk, griffin, and sakai, 1.0u on azurr, and 0.75u on prepolec.
     
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  4. TheCalculator

    TheCalculator Active Member

    I think Gaethje destroys him. Gaethje made small critical defensive adjustments to his style on his last fight.
     
    punisherind likes this.
  5. punisherind

    punisherind Moderator Foundation Member

  6. JimGunn

    JimGunn Active Member

  7. Will

    Will Administrator Staff Member

    Had a look at the lines. Surprised to see Gaj rd 1 +300 at dimes. Considering that is Cerrone's cryptonite and Gaj's MO.
    My aus book had Gaj KO rd 1 +375.

    2u Gaj KO +375

    Gaj in the UFC has faded in all of his fights that go long. I will probably live play Cowboy after rd 1 or rd 2 (if it gets there) at decent dog odds.

    Cerrone even said in his fight against Al I that he was hurt badly in rd 1 and if Al had come on he would of been in trouble.
     
  8. JimGunn

    JimGunn Active Member

  9. Mirinquads

    Mirinquads Active Member Staff Member

    Capping atm, will report back.

    Looking at so far:

    Gadhjte and Gadhjte round 1. But this could be a 4-5 round finish for Cowboy ala Poirer, but Im not sure Cowboy can sustain the assualt for the new and improved defense Gad
    Though Gad guard and habit of just covering up and countering if he can feel you hitting the guard could be bad news against Cowboy, as he loves coming up the middle with a knee / Jab, then keeping/ creating distance and coming around the side with a headkick (Gad was finished by a knee up the middle against Eddie too)
     
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  10. Vaughany

    Vaughany Active Member

    Seems on paper one of those where Cowboy gets cracked early - Till like fight. Gaethje has had eye issue I see, not sure how much that has affected his training/prep
     
    punisherind likes this.
  11. Will

    Will Administrator Staff Member

    Watched a vid on mmafighting where Justin spoke about it.
    He refused to answer when he got the infection.

    That’s a worry, it was likely recently if he is still wearing glasses because of light sensitivity . infections come with antibiotics.

    Antibiotics plays with a fighthers gas tank.

    Ergh....

    I have multiple books that have Justin rd 1-2-3 at +110. That’s a great line in my opinion but it’s hard to put more on Justin with the above going on. :/
     
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  12. JimGunn

    JimGunn Active Member

    UFC Vancouver Official Weigh-in:

     
  13. JimGunn

    JimGunn Active Member

    Post-USADA Todd Duffee doesn't look in the same shape physically as he did back in the day. Even his body language seemed weird on the scale.
     
  14. Mirinquads

    Mirinquads Active Member Staff Member

    Hall and Hall round 3 +1500 - Mostly for the value, though i did also hit shoeface decision at like +600.

    Tex +110 and tex round 2 - Do i have to explain? Krylov's grappling is funny

    Johns -130 - Better fighter all around.

    Hughes -110, really a crab shoot, but Duffman returning after 4 years with no chin already..

    COnnelly +450 - Pereria is the type of fighter to bet against as a fav and bet on as a dog.

    Sakai / Tybura GTD, Griffin/skelly ITD, Smolka Sub for some parlay stuff
     
    punisherind likes this.
  15. JimGunn

    JimGunn Active Member

  16. lucky

    lucky Active Member

    No props up at bol?
     
  17. JimGunn

    JimGunn Active Member

    They're up now.
     
  18. JimGunn

    JimGunn Active Member

    Will likes this.
  19. punisherind

    punisherind Moderator Foundation Member

    Gah 8 mins of gianni is 7 mins more than i can handle
     
    Vaughany likes this.
  20. JimGunn

    JimGunn Active Member

    TLDR: You can't predict outcomes, just beat the closing line. And specifically, the betting syndicates and wiseguys are on Krylov.
     
    punisherind likes this.

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