UFN 124 - Stephens vs Choi - St. Louis

Discussion in 'Gambling and Betting Forum' started by ezflyer, Dec 30, 2017.

Added to Calendar: 01-14-18
  1. ezflyer

    ezflyer Moderator Staff Member

  2. ezflyer

    ezflyer Moderator Staff Member

    Choi and stephens both have proven pretty darn good chins...

    Starts rd 3 -119 my first play here. Much cheaper than o1.5 -185

    Could see it going all 5, in fact, and could see it going either way.. both guys' split decision lines are interesting... +16xx and +10xx..
     
  3. ezflyer

    ezflyer Moderator Staff Member

    I took five favorites from all these new lines.. no dogs...

    Cummings -180ish
    Santiago -180ish
    Frevola -180ish
    Johnson -170ish
    Krause -155 (smaller than the others)

    Who am I and what did I do with EzFlyer
     
  4. ezflyer

    ezflyer Moderator Staff Member

    I did try for aldrich +130ish but missed it

    Not interested in either girl without +money
     
  5. Will

    Will Administrator Staff Member Oddsb CC Champ

    Damn i thought MJ might have come in as the dog.... ergh.... Dont make me bet Elkins here...

    Why is PVZ a dog here? Jessica nearly lost her fight with rawlings. Not a robbery but it could of easily gone the other way and if it had, these odds would be very different.

    She also missed weight to her advantage.
     
  6. ezflyer

    ezflyer Moderator Staff Member

    And I thought mj would open -250

    Just live bet Elkins, no? Mj very likely should get Rd 1. And he's never finishing mj.. maybe o2.5 or Elkins Dec ...

    Obviously I'm on mj right now, tho.

    Dog or pass on all 3 girl fights imo
     
    Last edited: Jan 8, 2018
  7. ezflyer

    ezflyer Moderator Staff Member

    Man Santiago dipped back to -170? I'm taking more. Think it's my favorite bet on the card right now.

    Standup edge, wrestling edge, VASTLY improved BJJ lately, bigger, more aggressive, and man he still shower some heart and made zabit work.. that was just such a tough official ufc debut
     
  8. Vaughany

    Vaughany Active Member

    yeah thought this would be more 50/50. Must just be basing it on their records lol one dude 7-0 and one 7-4 or sumin
     
  9. ezflyer

    ezflyer Moderator Staff Member

    so lost lol, what?

    santiago is 19-10, burnell 8-2

    santiago had 9 straight w's before the zabit fight, mind you
     
  10. Vaughany

    Vaughany Active Member

    lol soz, im talking about the Polo Reyes fight. I dont know why I imagined that you were talking about him
     
  11. ezflyer

    ezflyer Moderator Staff Member

    I have frevola opener too but not as big hehe
     
  12. Beelzebubzy

    Beelzebubzy Active Member

  13. TheCalculator

    TheCalculator Active Member

    We MUST bet Elkins here.
     
    Will likes this.
  14. Vaughany

    Vaughany Active Member

    yeah, Johnson tends to wilt and isnt mentally strong - completely opposite of Elkins so Elkins def has a chance of taking over later in fight. All depends on how much damage and volume he's taken in first 10 mins or so
     
    Will likes this.
  15. Perra

    Perra Active Member

    Elkins fight should offer a pretty good livebetting opportunity. Either MJ is on or he's off - dude is such a headcase it should be pretty clear who will win this fight after 3-4 minutes.
     
    Zeckdo, ezflyer and Will like this.
  16. ezflyer

    ezflyer Moderator Staff Member

    I disagree with betting Elkins prefight.

    I agree with looking to live bet him.
     
  17. marzwoody

    marzwoody Active Member

    Elkins has the hog advantage imo
     
  18. Zeckdo

    Zeckdo Member

    michael johnson's fight IQ is terrible. he also never struck me as a small lightweight, imagining a tough weight cut. could get finished late.
     
  19. Zeckdo

    Zeckdo Member

    i'm really confident in jeremy stephens too.
     
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  20. Perra

    Perra Active Member

    MJ is black...
     
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