UFN 100 - Bader vs Lil Nog - Brazil

Discussion in 'Gambling and Betting Forum' started by ezflyer, Nov 8, 2016.

Added to Calendar: 11-19-16
  1. ezflyer

    ezflyer Moderator Staff Member

  2. ezflyer

    ezflyer Moderator Staff Member

    http://www.mmaoddsbreaker.com/news/ufc-fight-night-99-and-100-betting-odds/

    UFC Fight Night 100: Bader vs. Nogueira
    NOVEMBER 19, 2016
    Ibirapuera Gymnasium | Sao Paulo, Brazil

    MAIN CARD

    Antonio Rogerio Nogueira +250
    Ryan Bader -350

    Over 1.5 -190
    Under 1.5 +150


    Albert Morales +185
    Thomas Almeida -265

    Over 1.5 -160
    Under 1.5 +120


    Cortney Casey +325
    Claudia Gadelha -475

    Over 2.5 -190
    Under 2.5 +150


    Krzysztof Jotko +120
    Thales Leites -160

    Over 2.5 -130
    Under 2.5 -110


    Warlley Alves +175
    Kamaru Usman -245

    Over 2.5 -140
    Under 2.5 +100
     
  3. ezflyer

    ezflyer Moderator Staff Member

    casey +325 hrmmm idk, maybe... mehhhh...

    gotta think almeida gets bet here, but i'm not laying -265.

    jotko-leites super interesting, but no lean on those odds

    usman gonna have a SUUUUPER tough time finishing alves, even if alves gasses. usman not a finisher. O2.5 -140 all day if you lean usman, much better than -245
     
  4. ezflyer

    ezflyer Moderator Staff Member

    god the limits are shit on o/u openers, argggh, and usman O2.5 -140 is alrdy -230 within a minute
     
  5. ezflyer

    ezflyer Moderator Staff Member

    general props up..

    bader-nog goes 5 +220?
    bader dec +314?

    almeida itd -130?

    gadelha dec -117?
    casey dec +710?

    usman dec -118?
     
  6. ezflyer

    ezflyer Moderator Staff Member

    jotko +337 dec - hitting this one, it's the only way he beats leites
     
  7. ezflyer

    ezflyer Moderator Staff Member

    ishihara DEC +370, lobov has a chin
     
  8. ezflyer

    ezflyer Moderator Staff Member

    leites NSC -177 maxing

    leites SUB +420 maxing

    hrmmmm

    alves rd 1 +700, both guys rd 1 +424, alves sub +672
    i'm on this O2.5 but alves rd 1 could totally happen
     
  9. ezflyer

    ezflyer Moderator Staff Member

    lilnog KO +580
    lilnog DEC +1300
    lilnog SPLIT +2495
     
  10. ezflyer

    ezflyer Moderator Staff Member

    http://www.mmaoddsbreaker.com/news/full-ufc-fight-night-100-betting-odds/

    UFC Fight Night 100: Bader vs. Nogueira
    NOVEMBER 19, 2016
    Ibirapuera Gymnasium | Sao Paulo, Brazil
    FOX Sports 1

    MAIN CARD

    Antonio Rogerio Nogueira +250
    Ryan Bader -350

    Over 1.5 -190
    Under 1.5 +150


    Albert Morales +185
    Thomas Almeida -265

    Over 1.5 -160
    Under 1.5 +120


    Cortney Casey +325
    Claudia Gadelha -475

    Over 2.5 -190
    Under 2.5 +150


    Krzysztof Jotko +120
    Thales Leites -160

    Over 2.5 -130
    Under 2.5 -110


    Warlley Alves +175
    Kamaru Usman -245

    Over 2.5 -140
    Under 2.5 +100

    ——————–

    PRELIMINARY CARD

    Zak Ottow +145
    Sergio Moraes -185

    Over 1.5 -155
    Under 1.5 +115


    Cezar Ferreira +130
    Jack Hermansson -170

    Over 1.5 -160
    Under 1.5 +120


    Gadzhimurad Antigulov +100
    Marcos Rogerio de Lima -140

    Over 1.5 +120
    Under 1.5 -160


    Manny Gamburyan +145
    Johnny Eduardo -185

    Over 2.5 -130
    Under 2.5 -110


    Christian Colombo +190
    Luis Henrique -270

    Over 1.5 -165
    Under 1.5 +125


    Pedro Munhoz +150
    Justin Scoggins -190

    Over 2.5 -230
    Under 2.5 +170


    Darren Stewart +120
    Francimar Barroso -160

    Over 1.5 -150
    Under 1.5 +110

    ----------

    lol hermansson -170, knew he would be.

    i'm hitting munhoz for sure. scoggins is legit, no doubt, but going up a weight class, in brazil.. and i'm a huge munhoz fan. think he subs scoggins, actually. but dec either way wouldn't surprise me

    i like O1.5 -155 on ottow-moraes, too
     
  11. ezflyer

    ezflyer Moderator Staff Member

    o2.5 manny-eduardo -130 done small along w/the two above plays ^^

    couple units on munhoz +150
     
  12. Mirinquads

    Mirinquads Active Member Staff Member

    Think Munhoz get's pieced up from the outside. Scoggins was a massive flyweight, and Munhoz striking is tenacious but very unpolished, as is his takedowns to a certain extend. Certainly hitting Munhoz sub though, know Scoggins propensity to stick his head in gulliotines etc.
     
    ezflyer and TheCalculator like this.
  13. Perra

    Perra Active Member


    I seriously wonder if these linesetting guys read Sherdog and oddsb, cause everyone at Sherdog were praising him before the odds were out? Betsafe opened him up as a dog +115 or something, and you can still get him there at -105 (I hit him big). Would not bet him at -230 or whatever he's currently at.
     
    marzwoody likes this.
  14. Perra

    Perra Active Member

    Would probably bet Mutante +170 if I weren't already on Hermansson (-105).

    Edit: No I wouldn't , cause he sucks and has a glass jaw - but I certainly wouldn't touch Hermansson at current odds.
     
    Last edited: Nov 16, 2016
  15. Mirinquads

    Mirinquads Active Member Staff Member

    I can promise you they read whatever they can get their hands on. We had long discussions about this on SBR, also why we generally dont discuss matchups before lines are out.

    Cocklikas does not have the skillz to do this on his own.
     
    Perra likes this.
  16. Perra

    Perra Active Member

    I think so too, without sounding like a tinfoil hat I do believe they would've opened Hermansson as a dog/pickem if no one would've written anything in these forums.
     
  17. Sky

    Sky Member

    ay perra was it you who said they had been following hermansson for a while? if so how do you rate his takedown defence?
     
  18. marzwoody

    marzwoody Active Member

    We should make it private then. sort of defeats the whole purpose of this place if there reading what we have to say ?
     
  19. ezflyer

    ezflyer Moderator Staff Member

    Typically we do a good job of not ruining openers on here. I agree elsewhere they need to realize that
     
  20. Perra

    Perra Active Member


    Would say that what Hermansson does really well is keeping himself away from being taken down by using his footwork and range to his advantage. I don't think Mutante will be able to blast him with double as easily as he did with say Bamgbose. Same thing in the clinch, he's good enough not to be grinded against the fence, just look at the fight vs Askham.
     

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