steep, though!Agree with both woodsy and bader. But leaning Cormier if anything
I agree with your Gus analysis. I'm not sure what to think of Baug vs JoeB. I think it could be very close and I wonder what Baug will look like at this point, after steroids and a long layoff. Both Baug's and Woodleys lines are pretty decent but I would consider each by decision over the ML. I really doubt Baug tko's Joe and he has a slim chance of submitting him. If you think he wins, dec at +600 is probably a much better option. Woodley isn't likely to sub Hendricks anytime soon, maybe a R1 Ko, possibly R2, definitely not R3. I would probably play him by decision if I were to play him at all.POUNDING DOGS HARD.
4 units on Gus -- analysis below
2 units on Bader
1 units on Woodley (may add another)
1 unit on Baugotinov.
Parlayed that shit every which way from Sunday.
Gus vs. DC
The current line is based on MMA math Cormier > Rumble > Gus.
Gus got caught -- it happens.
This fight really favors Gus for a few reasons. Gus is FAST and circles relentlessly. It will be hard for DC to get the takedowns. I expect DC will win r1 and maybe r2. I expect DC to fade and Gus to shine as the rounds go on. Gus's jab should be the story of this fight. Gus by decision. Can't believe we're getting +300???
Well he has been improving every fight while Rashad hasen't fought in 2 years.Gus and Rahshad: +300 for Gus is stupid, and I'd like to hear a good argument for Bader that wouldn't focus on Rashad's unknowns.
i think that falls under the 'unknowns' bit -- but honestly, outside of the sonnen fight (where sonnen clearly had a foot out the door, we now know, and was outsized) -- he hasn't looked good in years. bad fight with hendo, TERRIBLE fight w/lilnog... he's not this elite guy who should be favored over baderWell he has been improving every fight while Rashad hasen't fought in 2 years.
Yes true also he's alway's had mental issues where his heads not quite right etc. who knows what he will look like. but Bader is the play for me.i think that falls under the 'unknowns' bit -- but honestly, outside of the sonnen fight (where sonnen clearly had a foot out the door, we now know, and was outsized) -- he hasn't looked good in years. bad fight with hendo, TERRIBLE fight w/lilnog... he's not this elite guy who should be favored over bader
i think that falls under the 'unknowns' bit -- but honestly, outside of the sonnen fight (where sonnen clearly had a foot out the door, we now know, and was outsized) -- he hasn't looked good in years. bad fight with hendo, TERRIBLE fight w/lilnog... he's not this elite guy who should be favored over bader