General MMA Discussion & Future Lines

Discussion in 'Gambling and Betting Forum' started by bum, Apr 2, 2017.

  1. Mirinquads

    Mirinquads Active Member Staff Member

    Fair for who? Luca would take a savage pounding from a moody 13 year old girl with muscular dystrophy
     
  2. JimGunn

    JimGunn Active Member

    No odds, I just thought it was a potentially entertaining curiosity on a slow weekend. Who knows if it will even happen, as Tara is stepping in last minute for two other females who bowed out. Although I am not too ashamed to admit that I watched Tara talking about it on her Twitch stream last night for about an hour and it seems like the main consideration is whether they were going to do it in a cage at a gym in Apopka, Florida or somewhere else nearby that has a cage.
     
    Perra likes this.
  3. JimGunn

    JimGunn Active Member



    LFA 30: Millender vs. Barnes
    JANUARY 12, 2018
    OC Fair & Event Center | Costa Mesa, California

    Fight Card - (1-12-2018 at 10 PM ET, AXS TV)

    Nick Barnes +145
    Curtis Millender -185

    Talison Soares Costa +225
    Fernando Padilla -305

    Charlie Alaniz +150
    Maikel Perez -190

    Craig Wilkerson +260
    Jordan Wright -380

    Maycon Mendonca +160
    Christian Aguilera -210
     
  4. JimGunn

    JimGunn Active Member

    I'm eating a lot of chalk here too, just like Invicta. I'm big on Millender at the opener to win 2u, he's much taller and a better striker than the tough Barnes. I also like Perez's Cuban wrestling vs scrappy TUF veteran Alaniz. I put Wright and Padilla in a parlay as well. Padilla is the riskier of the two heavy favorites, depending on if Costa can handle his striking and make it a gritty fight. No bet on Mendonca/Aguilera yet.
     
  5. JimGunn

    JimGunn Active Member

    Now that I looked into it a bit Mendonca fought better competition than Aguilera on this LFA card and has value as an underdog. 2u at +140.
     
  6. ezflyer

    ezflyer Moderator Staff Member

    you really think he's that much better of a striker than barnes? i'm not sure.. only fight i'm really considering... but i'm considering barnes or nothing, given the current price

    barnes impressed me vs curry
     
  7. JimGunn

    JimGunn Active Member

    Yeah, striking I believe is Millender's biggest advantage over Barnes, plus he has the height and length to use them effectively.
     
  8. JimGunn

    JimGunn Active Member

    LFA 30 Risk $960.00

    Curtis Millender (-185) vs Nick Barnes $370.00 for $200.00
    Maikel Perez (-190) vs Charlie Alaniz $190.00 for $100.00
    Maycon Mendonca (+140) vs Christian Aguilera $100.00 for $140.00
    Maycon Mendonca (+140) vs Christian Aguilera $100.00 for $140.00

    Parlay:
    Jordan Wright (-380) vs Craig Wilkerson + Fernando Padilla (-305) vs Talison Soares Costa $200.00 for $135.46
     
    ezflyer likes this.
  9. ezflyer

    ezflyer Moderator Staff Member

    Just the one bet for me.. 0.33u Barnes +255. Might do a lil more when line moves.. first example of new unit size making it harder starts on first fight of 2018 haha.
     
  10. ezflyer

    ezflyer Moderator Staff Member

    fuck, man. i wanted to bet alaniz +3xx but he has fought nothing but mediocre competition outside of kanehara and elliot on tuf.. and he got INSTA finished by both (never saw the kanehara fight) -- and maikel, while raw still, is a darn good wrestler.. prolly just takes charlie down. pass, i guess

    k, i'm set:

    0.5u barnes +248 - hope he's able to keep it in boxing range, he has better hands than millender and he might be the better wrestler, tho i expect this to be a close 15 min standup fight.

    0.33u soares +255 -- this padilla kid burned me against minner, but mannnn, idk. he's what, 21? 22? and he's a freakin beanpole at 145.. ALL of his wins are rd 1 subs.. the only time he went past 1 round he lost a decision (granted, ige is legit, he's in ufc next after DW fight)... talison soares is a legit bjj blackbelt.. tho i'm ONLY going off of tape on soares, i have never seen him live. /shrug. i just figure this mexican kid who relies on scramble subs and shit is gonna lose position to the experienced bjj player and at +255 i'll take that chance.
     
  11. JimGunn

    JimGunn Active Member

    For some reason I thought Padilla was a better striker than this. His TDD is terrible and BJJ is at a disadvantage. Looks like a good call on Soares after round 1.
     
  12. ezflyer

    ezflyer Moderator Staff Member

    The wrong guy was -300 here, hehe

    Sorry it was at your expense
     
  13. JimGunn

    JimGunn Active Member

    That highlight reel head kick by Millender was huge especially since he appeared to lose round 1. Only a 1u loss on the balance. Some good fights scheduled on the upcoming LFA cards too.

    LFA 30 Results Risk $960.00

    Curtis Millender (-185) vs Nick Barnes $370.00 for $200.00= $200.00
    Maikel Perez (-190) vs Charlie Alaniz $190.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    Maycon Mendonca (+140) vs Christian Aguilera $100.00 for $140.00= -$100.00
    Maycon Mendonca (+140) vs Christian Aguilera $100.00 for $140.00= -$100.00

    Parlay:
    Jordan Wright (-380) vs Craig Wilkerson + Fernando Padilla (-305) vs Talison Soares Costa $200.00 for $135.46= -$200.00
    -----
    Total Loss= -$100.00
     
    ezflyer likes this.
  14. ezflyer

    ezflyer Moderator Staff Member

    LFA 30 Net: +52.50
    barnes +248: 75 for 186.25
    soares +255: 50 for 127.50
    ---

    Damn, Barnes was ahead on the cards but started tiring and got sloppy in rd2 as a result. Think the break during his fight camp a factor .. oh well, was a nice KO by millender.

    Soares should've been a 4u play, haha. (jk, just played out that way)

    Fun start to 2018.. +0.35u! hehe
     
  15. punisherind

    punisherind Active Member

  16. ezflyer

    ezflyer Moderator Staff Member

  17. Vaughany

    Vaughany Active Member

    good lord
     
  18. ezflyer

    ezflyer Moderator Staff Member

    LFA 32: Allen vs. Hernandez
    Golden Nugget Hotel & Casino
    Lake Charles, Louisiana, United States
    Friday 1-26-18 at 9PM ET - AXS TV


    Middleweight Title

    Anthony Hernandez +185
    Brendan Allen -265
    -

    Light Heavyweight Title

    Ryan Spann +100
    Alex Nicholson -140
    -

    Welterweight

    Carlo Prater +110
    Eric Scallan -150
    -

    Lightweight

    Lanny Dardar +260
    Zach Fears -380

    ----------



    what the fuck.

    eric scallan vs carlo prater tonight on LFA..

    i was like "wait, who's scallan? and where's prater been?"

    look at prater's last 11 fights

    [​IMG]

    but man who the heck is scallan? sub guy who hasn't fought since 2012, himself.. haha.

    but wow, prater's sure fallen off the pace, eh... i guess i'm passing, tho...

    --------

    just watched tape on hernandez and was about to make a bet on allen -150 and he freakin shifted to -185 as i was testing my limits.. grrrr who did that shit
     
  19. marzwoody

    marzwoody Active Member

    Look how she reacts when asked about her losses. haha pathetic
     
  20. Vaughany

    Vaughany Active Member

    haha loves a decision loss
     

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