everything done before reading anyone's input or seeing any lines, as usual.
Frevola-Flores
I'm not familiar with either guy here.
Frevola seems like an aggressive dude. at least early in the fight. he's got some striking, he's got some wrestling, he's got some grappling. he looks like he'd have cardio/pacing problems, but just watched his last fight and he was still surprisingly fresh in the third. overall he's decent everywhere, not great anywhere.
flores is a BIG 155. gonna definitely be a few inches taller than frevola. he's got some wicked kicks and he's got a strong top game if it gets there, but he seems to settle for bottom if he ends there to a fault. he pulled off a sweet armbar from the bottom in the one fight, but he went for it like 5x in a row, just accepting bottom etc. that's never a good sign.
expecting the odds to come out close. i'd take either guy as a big dog, definitely. not sure if there's a finish or not. frevola seems to GO FOR IT early, but after that, i could see the fight settling into a decision type of deal. i do think it's possible that flores ends up on bottom too often and costs him the decision.. tall lanky dude vs a more compact guy and he accepts bottom, etc.. but i think he's got better kicks at range and he might be the more likely finisher. flores NSC line would be very intriguing to me near evens.
lewis-urbina
i remember urbina from tuf. don't know lewis.
ok, lewis: just watched his fight w/gratalo.. this dude is a heck of an athlete. big strong athletic kickboxer. muay thai stylist. seems to have decent TDD. he's all about the clinch elbows and knees accordingly. i'm pretty impressed, but obviously hard to know much at 3-0.
urbina surprisingly hasn't freakin fought since getting tapped on tuf by spicely like what, 18+ months ago? he seems to want to strike but doesn't seem to have an answer for wrestlers. hard to really know where he is right now.
i'd take lewis at evens; i see really good standup fundamentals and urbina who the hell knows. i believe urbina is like 6'5 or 6'6.. he got the good genes of that family, apparently.. so he should be a bit longer etc than lewis.. and it seems like lewis will give him the fight urbina wants.. but yea. i'd take lewis at evens. no clue on o/u 1.5, assuming it's set there. either side at GOOD +money i'd consider.
kenney-antolin
yay! i actually know both dudes.
kenney's a HIGH level judoka, we saw him on DW series earlier. he's got a good judo base as far as mma wrestling goes, showed a good gastank and decent striking. not much of a finisher, tho.
antolin was on TUF - he's a GOOD striker, even tho he has most of his wins via sub. awesome body kicks. he is no spring chicken, tho.. 9 or 10 years older than kenney IIRC.
antolin is definitely the more potent dude here IMO, but he also might get grounded and laid on. i'd like to see antolin NSC line etc. i kinda expect kenney to be a small favorite due to youth, recent familiarity from DW fights, and a potential wrestling edge.. but i'd absolutely consider antolin +150 or higher. if it's pick'em, i might LEAN kenney but won't bet either side prolly. fairly confident this goes 3, i'd take anything reasonable for O2.5 etc.
mayes-crowder
don't know these guys. oh god. heavyweights.
idk, i'm just gonna pass on this one, i can't find shit for recent fights on crowder. he's had one fight since 2017. seems like a random regional heavyweight who probably comes out slugging and probably gasses. won a few fights by chokes. for whatever that's worth.
seems like mayes is gonna be the bigger dude. man idk. prolly a big brawler.
sorry, not watching tape here. prolly take U1.5 if it's evens but it's prolly steeper. prolly take mayes via wikicapping if he's evens but it's prolly steeper. just not interested in spending more time on this one.
mueller-velasco
wtf. who are these girls. i can't even find a sherdog page for velasco. don't know don't care really... pass...