Bellator 224 Budd vs Rubin

Discussion in 'Gambling and Betting Forum' started by JimGunn, Jun 25, 2019.

  1. JimGunn

    JimGunn Active Member

  2. JimGunn

    JimGunn Active Member

    Opening Odds:
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    Current Odds:
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  3. JimGunn

    JimGunn Active Member

    I smashed Julia Budd at -255 & -275. Canadian champion Julia Budd at 12-2 has only lost to Ronda Rousey and Amanda Nunes early in her career. She is a physical specimen and a decent kickboxer with reasonable power and good takedowns who can strike on the feet with hands and elbows, get takedowns and finish fights on the floor with ground & pound. The younger Israeli Olga Rubin with just a 6-0 record is reasonably well rounded but has no one overwhelming weapon or elite skill set to threaten Julia Budd with. She got taken down twice in round 1 & 2 by a much smaller 5'4" woman in her last bout against Iony Razafiarison and judo thrown to the ground in her bout before than against veteran submission specialist Cindy Dandois before turning things around to stop the Belgian schoolteacher. Dandois even managed to hold her own with her comical striking early on. Budd told James Lynch she just signed a new four fight deal and has been studying Rubin in preparation for this bout and that she plans to stop her early. Even though Rubin trains with a decent coach in former UFC bantamweight Brad Pickett, I just don't see how she is going to beat Budd unless she has improved immeasurably and Budd is really ill prepared. I think Budd could easily be -450 or -500 here so I feel fine playing her straight under -300. Hope the line stays close and I'll add a lot more on it, juice be damned. I'll be on the under too when it comes out if reasonably set.

    Also on the early line for Ed Ruth and parlayed Budd + Ruth. And took some on Rafael Carvalho over Chidi Njokuani with the latter up at middleweight fighting former champion Carvalho who arguably beat Lyoto Machida in his most recent bout but didn't get the decision.
     
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  4. JimGunn

    JimGunn Active Member

  5. punisherind

    punisherind Active Member Foundation Member

    Off the top of my head i felt carvalho should be a bigger fave, but maybe I'm missing something. He did have that piss poor performance against manhoof.
     
  6. JimGunn

    JimGunn Active Member

    Bellator 224 Weigh-in:

     
  7. JimGunn

    JimGunn Active Member

    Bellator totals out: I really like Carvalho/Njokuani Over 1½ at -150 as both guys often go long or the distance especially since they are both long rangy strikers I think they will be careful not reckless to start things off. And Budd/Rubin Under 4½ +130 since Julia was saying in interviews that she has been working on her boxing and was going to finish Rubin early. Has the potential to do it on the feet or with ground & pound.
     
    omalley21 likes this.
  8. JimGunn

    JimGunn Active Member

    Bellator 224 Risk $5,705.88

    Julia Budd (-255) vs Olga Rubin $637.50 for $250.00
    Julia Budd (-275) vs Olga Rubin $687.50 for $250.00
    Julia Budd (-285) vs Olga Rubin ~$979.40 for ~$343.65
    Julia Budd (-320) vs Olga Rubin $320.00 for $100.00
    Julia Budd (-322) vs Olga Rubin ~$460.20 for ~$142.92
    Julia Budd (-323) vs Olga Rubin $322.58 for $100.00
    Julia Budd wins inside distance (+172) $50.00 for $86.00
    Julia Budd/Olga Rubin Under 4½ (+130) $100.00 for $130.00
    Julia Budd/Olga Rubin Under 4½ (+125) $100.00 for $125.00
    Julia Budd wins in round 4 (+1000) ~$23.60 for ~$236.00
    Julia Budd wins in round 5 (+1400) ~$23.60 for ~$330.40

    Rafael Carvalho (-131) vs Chidi Njokuani $262.00 for $200.00
    Rafael Carvalho wins by 3 round decision (+325) $50.00 for $162.50
    Rafael Carvalho/Chidi Njokuani Over 1½ (-150) $150.00 for $100.00
    Rafael Carvalho/Chidi Njokuani Over 1½ (-150) $150.00 for $100.00

    Kristina Williams (+205) vs Juliana Velasquez $100.00 for $205.00

    Ed Ruth (-375) vs Kiichi Kunimoto $937.50 for $250.00

    Parlay:
    Ed Ruth (-400) vs Kiichi Kunimoto + Julia Budd (-325) vs Olga Rubin $352.00 for $206.25
     
    Will likes this.
  9. JimGunn

    JimGunn Active Member

    My best Bellator card ever, called nearly everything to perfection, especially Rafael Carvalho's decision win over Chidi Njokuani and Julia Budd's early TKO stoppage of overmatched Olga Rubin to earn 23.99 units for the card.

    Bellator 224 Results
    Risk $5,705.88

    Julia Budd (-255) vs Olga Rubin $637.50 for $250.00= $250.00
    Julia Budd (-275) vs Olga Rubin $687.50 for $250.00= $250.00
    Julia Budd (-285) vs Olga Rubin ~$979.40 for ~$343.65= ~$343.65
    Julia Budd (-320) vs Olga Rubin $320.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    Julia Budd (-322) vs Olga Rubin ~$460.20 for ~$142.92= ~$142.92
    Julia Budd (-323) vs Olga Rubin $322.58 for $100.00= $100.00
    Julia Budd wins inside distance (+172) $50.00 for $86.00= $86.00
    Julia Budd/Olga Rubin Under 4½ (+130) $100.00 for $130.00= $130.00
    Julia Budd/Olga Rubin Under 4½ (+125) $100.00 for $125.00= $125.00
    Julia Budd wins in round 4 (+1000) ~$23.60 for ~$236.00= -~$23.60
    Julia Budd wins in round 5 (+1400) ~$23.60 for ~$330.40= -~$23.60

    Rafael Carvalho (-131) vs Chidi Njokuani $262.00 for $200.00= $200.00
    Rafael Carvalho wins by 3 round decision (+325) $50.00 for $162.50= $162.50
    Rafael Carvalho/Chidi Njokuani Over 1½ (-150) $150.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    Rafael Carvalho/Chidi Njokuani Over 1½ (-150) $150.00 for $100.00= $100.00

    Kristina Williams (+205) vs Juliana Velasquez $100.00 for $205.00= -$100.00

    Ed Ruth (-375) vs Kiichi Kunimoto $937.50 for $250.00= $250.00

    Parlay:
    Ed Ruth (-400) vs Kiichi Kunimoto + Julia Budd (-325) vs Olga Rubin $352.00 for $206.25= $206.25
    -----

    Sub-Total= $1,959.75
    Sub-Total= ~$439.37

    Total Profit= $2,399.12
     
    Will, punisherind and omalley21 like this.
  10. punisherind

    punisherind Active Member Foundation Member

    Nice work, crushed it!
     

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