Bellator 219 Awad vs Girtz

Discussion in 'Gambling and Betting Forum' started by JimGunn, Mar 26, 2019.

  1. JimGunn

    JimGunn Active Member

  2. JimGunn

    JimGunn Active Member

    Bellator 219 opening odds:

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  3. JimGunn

    JimGunn Active Member

    Bellator 219 official early weigh-ins:

     
  4. JimGunn

    JimGunn Active Member

    Bellator 219 ceremonial weigh-ins:

     
  5. JimGunn

    JimGunn Active Member

    I believe I found the underdog of the weekend. I see a lot of value in Kiwi Janay Harding who fights out of Australia as a sizable underdog to Russian submission specialist Marina Mokhnatkina. Firstly there is a significant size difference with Janay being a much bigger girl at 5'10" to Marina's 5'6"- check the weigh-ins. This bout is at featherweight where Janay has competed in her last couple of bouts, while Marina's last few bouts have been at bantamweight. This includes Marina's most recent 135 pound title fight at Fight Night Global 83 where she lost a majority decision in her home country of Russia against a Georgian opponent from the Euro scene. Marina is a submission over position grappler who dives on opportunistic submissions as her main game plan. Yet she was defended against and was reversed by opponent Liana Jojua multiple times, caught with punches on the feet and even had her back taken on the feet or ended up on her back on the ground. Marina seemed to get a bit tired at some points and while she kept fighting she even had a point deducted for an illegal upkick to her opponent's head while she was on her back in guard and ultimately lost a majority decision including one 49-45 against her.

    On the contrary, Janay has fought more notable competition including an early career bout with Megan Anderson, as well as Jessica Rose Clark and Amber Leibrock. Janay stopped her last opponent Sinead Kavanagh by TKO after the first round due to a doctor's stoppage as a result of a cut from a slicing elbow strike- not the only one she landed in that bout, by the way. Janay has pretty good footwork with decent boxing and hard elbow strikes on the feet and multiple fights that she won due to ground & pound on her record. She was also able to stuff Sinead's takedown attempt easily. With Marina potentially diving onto leg locks and other submissions I can see Janay hurting Marina on the feet or the ground. Janay trains at Tiger Muay Thai and has never been submitted, which would be Marina's most likely path to victory while Marina will presumably making the long trek to Temecula, California from St. Petersburg, Russia for her very first fight outside of Russia. The line is clearly skewed the way it is because of Marina's 4-1 record vs Janay's 4-4 record, but I think the line is way off. If Marina doesn't get a submission I believe she will lose a decision or maybe even get stopped. I'm five units deep so far on Janay at +285, +290 and +300.
     
    punisherind likes this.
  6. punisherind

    punisherind Active Member Foundation Member

    I'll come along for the ride.

    Why in the world are they offering odds on this postlim chick fight but not Joe Schilling or rickels?
     
  7. punisherind

    punisherind Active Member Foundation Member

    She's not too bad looking o_O
     
  8. BT

    BT Active Member

    Had to bite on Girtz at over 2-1 the other day. Only bet on the card for me. Not loving a lot this weekend.
     
    punisherind likes this.
  9. JimGunn

    JimGunn Active Member

    Bellator 219 Risk $1,215.00

    Saad Awad (-240) vs Brand0n Girtz $240.00 for $100.00

    Andrey Koreshkov/Mike Jasper Under 1½ (+145) $75.00 for $108.75

    Joe Schilling/Keith Berry Over 1½ (+120) $75.00 for $90.00

    Janay Harding (+300) vs Marina Mokhnatkina $100.00 for $300.00
    Janay Harding (+300) vs Marina Mokhnatkina $100.00 for $300.00
    Janay Harding (+290) vs Marina Mokhnatkina $100.00 for $290.00
    Janay Harding (+285) vs Marina Mokhnatkina $100.00 for $285.00
    Janay Harding (+285) vs Marina Mokhnatkina $100.00 for $285.00

    Parlay:
    Andrey Koreshkov (-895) vs Mike Jasper + Daniel Straus (-555) vs Shane Kruchten $325.00 for $101.41
     
  10. JimGunn

    JimGunn Active Member

    Fantastic main event war between Saad Awad and Brandon Girtz that I was on the wrong side of. But the postlims held the value with big underdog Janay Harding coming through as predicted over Marina Mokhnatkina to win a net total of 13.36 units.

    Bellator 219 Results
    Risk $1,215.00

    Saad Awad (-240) vs Brandon Girtz $240.00 for $100.00= -$240.00

    Andrey Koreshkov/Mike Jasper Under 1½ (+145) $75.00 for $108.75= -$75.00

    Joe Schilling/Keith Berry Over 1½ (+120) $75.00 for $90.00= $90.00

    Janay Harding (+300) vs Marina Mokhnatkina $100.00 for $300.00= $300.00
    Janay Harding (+300) vs Marina Mokhnatkina $100.00 for $300.00= $300.00
    Janay Harding (+290) vs Marina Mokhnatkina $100.00 for $290.00= $290.00
    Janay Harding (+285) vs Marina Mokhnatkina $100.00 for $285.00= $285.00
    Janay Harding (+285) vs Marina Mokhnatkina $100.00 for $285.00= $285.00

    Parlay:
    Andrey Koreshkov (-895) vs Mike Jasper + Daniel Straus (-555) vs Shane Kruchten $325.00 for $101.41= $101.41
    -----

    Total Profit= $1,336.41
     
    omalley21, Will and punisherind like this.

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