mcgregor 5 - 25 mins.. he gets siver out of there.
cerrone 1 -- i'm giving cerrone maybe 55% at best here. absolutely conceivable for bendo to win a 3 rd decision if he can get td's. in fact, his standup has improved a lot since the first two times they fought. (cerrone's wrestling has improved, though)
hall-taylor can't say. need to study taylor more. at present, he's about a 3 or a 4, from what i know.
tibau 2 - ALMOST a 3. pretty darn confident that tibau takes rd 1. less confident, but confident nonetheless that parke wins the 3rd. i think tibau can win the first two before tiring. he's bigger, stronger.. throws harder and has the wrestling edge. very likely this hits the cards.
pendred 1 - he has ways to win here. if he can make this physical (and not gas out too early), he can outgrapple spencer. spencer sucks on bottom. pendred can also land the harder strikes (but way less accurate). conversely, absolutely conceivable (and pretty likely) that spencer wins a decision on the feet. he has like no power, though. very likely this hits the cards.
larkin 1. i lean larkin here, but man, i don't trust the guy. i question his mental state. howard fights a lot of close fights. some against guys he shouldn't, even. larkin is the quicker/better striker, but howard has more ways to win. IF howard grapples, there's a clear blueprint on how to beat larkin. take his ass down. larkin loses his speed / pop after the first round, too. on paper, larkin SHOULD outpoint howard for a decision.
wade 2 - i don't know how we can put him higher than a 2. MAYBE a 3. maybe. he looked great in his debut. he's the wrestling coach for laflare/bermudez/etc and crosstrains with serra's camp i think, a lil? he might be freakin legit. but i'm not getting carried away here, yet. a sub over another rookie last time.. i think wade's more of a grinder overall. in fact i don't think he finishes zhang. zhang is immense for 155. handful. i think this one might be closer than a lot of people (and the odds) suggest.
holohan-howell -- not enough info on howell for me to evaluate yet. at present, from what i know, 2 or 3 for holohan
case-perez -- not enough info for me on perez yet. at present, maybe case 1.
soriano 2 - i think he has some clear advantages against rosa. standing = soriano. wrestling = soriano. rosa throws more volume. rosa is more unpredictable. rosa can be dangerous if soriano gives up his back too easily or w/e. but i don't think rosa seals the deal where skelly couldn't even if he does.
O'Connell 1 - o'connell shouldn't be this big of a favorite over anyone in the ufc. oconnell prolly has the standup edge. he's a tougher dude, too. but he's gonna be vastly undersized (MVB is 6'5) and i don't think van buren will just trade w/him and slug it out. i think he goes for takedowns. if he can get them, he can definitely decision o'connell. that's arguably the best way to beat o'connell.
sanchez 2 - i think joby just has more weapons. if i knew he'd offensively wrestle at points in the fight, he'd be a 3. i think he might have more power than matsuda and he's really calm under pressure. think he gets the decision here.
